Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Lancers Coach = Elaine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.6292877 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 H Navy Patriot Leagu (14- 3, 90.5) 8-14 216 H Delaware State Independent ( 0-11, 63.1) 23- 3 226 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 87.5) 8-15 302 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 78.8) 12-13 2o 308 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (14- 6, 88.9) 8-22 313 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 3-13, 82.9) 16-13 319 A Elon Atlantic Sun ( 8- 9, 80.1) 4-15 325 A William & Mary Colonial ( 4-12, 85.5) 3-16 328 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 1-12, 69.5) 22-12 330 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 89.4) 3-15 404 A Coastal Carolina Big South ( 5-12, 79.0) 13- 9 406 A Winthrop Big South ( 8-11, 82.2) 13- 9 411 H Presbyterian Big South ( 4-14, 69.4) 21- 4 413 H Campbell Big South ( 7- 9, 77.8) 16- 8 419 H High Point Big South (14- 6, 89.2) 7-17 425 H Davidson Big South (12- 7, 84.1) 9-13 427 A Liberty Big South ( 2-16, 77.7) 12-11 430 H Campbell Big South ( 7- 9, 77.8) 18- 7 502 N Davidson Big South (12- 7, 84.1) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 H Navy 8-14 -6 -8 + 2.71 216 H Delaware State 23- 3 20 18 0.00 226 H Virginia Tech 8-15 -7 -5 -1.37 302 A George Mason 12-13 2o -1 0 -1.65 308 A Jacksonville 8-22 -14 -9 -0.52 313 H Old Dominion 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.05 319 A Elon 4-15 -11 0 --- -9.37 325 A William & Mary 3-16 -13 -6 - -3.90 328 H Kennesaw State 22-12 10 12 0.00 330 A Richmond 3-15 -12 -9 -0.01 404 A Coastal Carolina 13- 9 4 0 + 3.58 406 A Winthrop 13- 9 4 -2 +++ 6.72 411 H Presbyterian 21- 4 17 12 0.00 413 H Campbell 16- 8 8 4 + 3.96 419 H High Point 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.64 425 H Davidson 9-13 -4 -2 -1.69 427 A Liberty 12-11 1 1 -0.78 430 H Campbell 18- 7 11 4 ++ 5.96 502 N Davidson 9-12 -3 -3 0.50UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 A Elon 4-15 -11 0 --- -9.37 325 A William & Mary 3-16 -13 -6 - -3.90 419 H High Point 7-17 -10 -7 - -2.64OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Winthrop 13- 9 4 -2 +++ 6.72 313 H Old Dominion 16-13 3 -1 ++ 4.05 430 H Campbell 18- 7 11 4 ++ 5.96 208 H Navy 8-14 -6 -8 + 2.71 404 A Coastal Carolina 13- 9 4 0 + 3.58 413 H Campbell 16- 8 8 4 + 3.96/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.63 Local Power Rank........... 78 Local SOS Rating......... 59.78 Local SOS Rank............. 93 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 77 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 61 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 74 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0