Conf = Patriot League Region = Mid-Atlantic State = PA Nickname = Mountain Hawks Coach = Jill RedfernGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.3965912 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 3-13, 76.3) 10- 4 225 H Binghamton America East ( 7- 9, 82.5) 9-10 301 A New Hampshire America East ( 7-10, 87.3) 9- 5 304 A Fairfield Metro Atlanti (12- 5, 88.6) 5- 7 308 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 4-12, 81.5) 10- 4 310 H Bryant Northeast (15- 4, 87.2) 12-13 o 315 A Colgate Patriot Leagu ( 7- 9, 86.4) 11-12 319 H Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 7-10, 85.8) 9- 8 322 A Loyola Patriot Leagu (15- 6, 95.5) 4-12 326 H California MPSF ( 5-11, 83.2) 9- 7 330 A Yale Ivy League ( 9- 6, 89.8) 7- 8 405 A Boston University Patriot Leagu ( 9-11, 88.5) 12-11 2o 409 A Navy Patriot Leagu (14- 3, 90.5) 8- 9 o 413 H American Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 83.3) 10- 6 419 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 7-12, 86.4) 6- 9 422 A Boston University Patriot Leagu ( 9-11, 88.5) 9-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Mount St. Mary's 10- 4 6 11 -- -4.00 225 H Binghamton 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.07 301 A New Hampshire 9- 5 4 -2 +++ 6.15 304 A Fairfield 5- 7 -2 -3 1.38 308 H Bucknell 10- 4 6 6 -0.07 310 H Bryant 12-13 o -1 0 -1.35 315 A Colgate 11-12 -1 -1 0.20 319 H Lafayette 9- 8 1 1 -0.75 322 A Loyola 4-12 -8 -10 + 2.00 326 H California 9- 7 2 4 - -2.43 330 A Yale 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.61 405 A Boston University 12-11 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.25 409 A Navy 8- 9 o -1 -5 ++ 4.34 413 H American 10- 6 4 4 -0.33 419 H Holy Cross 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.24 422 A Boston University 9-14 -5 -3 -1.75UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Binghamton 9-10 -1 5 --- -6.07 222 H Mount St. Mary's 10- 4 6 11 -- -4.00 419 H Holy Cross 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.24 326 H California 9- 7 2 4 - -2.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A New Hampshire 9- 5 4 -2 +++ 6.15 405 A Boston University 12-11 2o 1 -3 ++ 4.25 409 A Navy 8- 9 o -1 -5 ++ 4.34 322 A Loyola 4-12 -8 -10 + 2.00 330 A Yale 7- 8 -1 -4 + 3.61/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.40 Local Power Rank........... 54 Local SOS Rating......... 69.57 Local SOS Rank............. 55 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 62 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 58 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 61 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3