Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Kelly NangleGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.6523590 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 89.4) 7-16 215 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 89.5) 8-20 218 A Navy Patriot Leagu (14- 3, 90.5) 3-19 221 H Elon Atlantic Sun ( 8- 9, 80.1) 13- 9 226 A George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 84.0) 10-21 305 H George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 78.8) 8-16 309 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 3-13, 82.9) 9-11 315 A La Salle Atlantic 10 (11- 6, 84.7) 10-11 322 A Robert Morris Northeast (11- 6, 80.3) 9-10 402 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 87.5) 7-18 404 A Campbell Big South ( 7- 9, 77.8) 14-18 406 A Presbyterian Big South ( 4-14, 69.4) 20-10 411 H High Point Big South (14- 6, 89.2) 5-17 413 H Coastal Carolina Big South ( 5-12, 79.0) 6- 7 419 A Davidson Big South (12- 7, 84.1) 3-16 425 H Winthrop Big South ( 8-11, 82.2) 14-19 427 H Longwood Big South ( 9-10, 80.6) 11-12 430 A Davidson Big South (12- 7, 84.1) 10-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A Richmond 7-16 -9 -12 1.00 215 A Vanderbilt 8-20 -12 -13 0.00 218 A Navy 3-19 -16 -14 0.00 221 H Elon 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.21 226 A George Washington 10-21 -11 -7 - -2.50 305 H George Mason 8-16 -8 0 --- -8.06 309 H Old Dominion 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.03 315 A La Salle 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.24 322 A Robert Morris 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.83 402 A Virginia Tech 7-18 -11 -11 0.00 404 A Campbell 14-18 -4 -1 - -2.67 406 A Presbyterian 20-10 10 7 + 2.89 411 H High Point 5-17 -12 -10 0.00 413 H Coastal Carolina 6- 7 -1 0 -0.84 419 A Davidson 3-16 -13 -7 - -2.32 425 H Winthrop 14-19 -5 -3 -1.70 427 H Longwood 11-12 -1 -1 0.78 430 A Davidson 10-18 -8 -7 -0.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H George Mason 8-16 -8 0 --- -8.06 226 A George Washington 10-21 -11 -7 - -2.50 404 A Campbell 14-18 -4 -1 - -2.67 419 A Davidson 3-16 -13 -7 - -2.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A La Salle 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.24 221 H Elon 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.21 309 H Old Dominion 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.03 322 A Robert Morris 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.83 406 A Presbyterian 20-10 10 7 + 2.89/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.65 Local Power Rank........... 92 Local SOS Rating......... 63.20 Local SOS Rank............. 80 Local RPI Rating......... 0.37 Local RPI Rank............. 93 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 59 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 103 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 2-16 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -5.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7