Conf = SAA                        Region = West         State = KY
   Nickname = Colonels               Coach  = Julie Beer              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.5973740    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Birmingham-Southern    SAA           ( 9- 7, 62.3)    21- 9   
 301 A Wooster                North Coast   ( 5- 8, 69.9)     9- 8   
 305 H Augustana              Midwest       (19- 1, 74.0)     6-12   
 307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     NAIA NWLL     ( 8- 6, 58.6)    16- 7   
 311 H Mo. Baptist            NAIA NWLL     (10- 7, 57.8)    20- 9   
 313 H Sewanee                SAA           (13- 6, 71.0)    10- 4   
 315 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   ( 8- 9, 66.6)    15- 8   
 322 H Rhodes                 SAA           ( 8- 4, 63.3)     9- 7   
 323 H Piedmont               USA South Atl (14- 3, 71.4)    16-14   
 326 A Lynchburg              Old Dominion  ( 7- 9, 73.5)    10- 6   
 329 A Hendrix                SAA           ( 4-10, 53.4)    18- 2   
 330 A Millsaps               SAA           ( 3- 8, 59.5)    18- 6   
 405 H Berry                  SAA           ( 9- 7, 64.2)    17-11   
 409 A Denison                North Coast   (13- 5, 75.3)     5-14   
 412 H Oglethorpe             SAA           ( 0-16, 51.7)    22- 5   
 419 H Oglethorpe             SAA           ( 0-16, 51.7)    19- 2   
 421 A Transylvania           Independent   ( 7- 7, 60.1)    16- 4   
 426 H Berry                  SAA           ( 9- 7, 64.2)    13- 9   
 427 H Sewanee                SAA           (13- 6, 71.0)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Birmingham-Southern    21- 9      12     7    +      2.65
   301 A Wooster                 9- 8       1     0           1.29
   305 H Augustana               6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.55
   307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16- 7       9    12          n/a  
   311 H Mo. Baptist            20- 9      11    13          n/a  
   313 H Sewanee                10- 4       6     0    ++     5.43
   315 H Ohio Wesleyan          15- 8       7     4    +      2.01
   322 H Rhodes                  9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.24
   323 H Piedmont               16-14       2     0           1.80
   326 A Lynchburg              10- 6       4    -3    +++    7.86
   329 A Hendrix                18- 2      16    16           0.00
   330 A Millsaps               18- 6      12    10           0.00
   405 H Berry                  17-11       6     7          -1.34
   409 A Denison                 5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.35
   412 H Oglethorpe             22- 5      17    19           0.00
   419 H Oglethorpe             19- 2      17    19           0.00
   421 A Transylvania           16- 4      12     9           0.47
   426 H Berry                  13- 9       4     7    -     -3.34
   427 H Sewanee                 8-11      -3     0    -     -3.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16- 7   
   311 H Mo. Baptist            20- 9   
   322 H Rhodes                  9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.24
   307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16- 7   
   311 H Mo. Baptist            20- 9   
   305 H Augustana               6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.55
   307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16- 7   
   311 H Mo. Baptist            20- 9   
   409 A Denison                 5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.35
   426 H Berry                  13- 9       4     7    -     -3.34
   427 H Sewanee                 8-11      -3     0    -     -3.57

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16- 7   
   311 H Mo. Baptist            20- 9   
   326 A Lynchburg              10- 6       4    -3    +++    7.86
   307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16- 7   
   311 H Mo. Baptist            20- 9   
   313 H Sewanee                10- 4       6     0    ++     5.43
   222 A Birmingham-Southern    21- 9      12     7    +      2.65
   307 H Tennessee Wesleyan     16- 7   
   311 H Mo. Baptist            20- 9   
   315 H Ohio Wesleyan          15- 8       7     4    +      2.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.60 Local Power Rank...........   114
 Local SOS Rating......... 33.81 Local SOS Rank.............   165
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/