Conf = NEWMAC Region = New England State = MA Nickname = Beavers Coach = Michelle SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.7629929 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5-10, 80.1) 8- 9 305 A Amherst NESCAC (19- 3, 87.5) 2-16 308 A Endicott Comm. Coast (14- 4, 77.6) 9-15 311 A Bates NESCAC ( 8- 8, 83.7) 10-16 318 N Hamilton NESCAC ( 6- 8, 82.9) 7-15 320 N William Smith Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 78.1) 18-11 322 A MIT NEWMAC (12- 6, 72.1) 13- 4 325 H Rensselaer Liberty Leagu (13- 5, 81.5) 7-11 328 A Mount Holyoke NEWMAC ( 8- 8, 72.5) 17- 8 401 H Plymouth State Little East (12- 5, 76.9) 7- 9 405 H Springfield NEWMAC ( 8- 9, 79.8) 16-12 408 H Wheaton NEWMAC (14- 7, 77.2) 11-14 412 A Smith NEWMAC ( 2-14, 63.0) 18- 9 415 A Wellesley NEWMAC ( 6- 9, 72.0) 9-10 419 H Emerson NEWMAC ( 8- 7, 72.1) 5- 8 426 N Springfield NEWMAC ( 8- 9, 79.8) 9- 7 427 A Wheaton NEWMAC (14- 7, 77.2) 5- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Connecticut College 8- 9 -1 -2 1.42 305 A Amherst 2-16 -14 -11 0.00 308 A Endicott 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.17 311 A Bates 10-16 -6 -7 1.90 318 N Hamilton 7-15 -8 -6 -1.88 320 N William Smith 18-11 7 -1 +++ 8.32 322 A MIT 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.28 325 H Rensselaer 7-11 -4 -3 -0.27 328 A Mount Holyoke 17- 8 9 3 ++ 5.71 401 H Plymouth State 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.80 405 H Springfield 16-12 4 -2 +++ 6.07 408 H Wheaton 11-14 -3 0 - -3.48 412 A Smith 18- 9 9 12 -1.00 415 A Wellesley 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.76 419 H Emerson 5- 8 -3 5 --- -8.67 426 N Springfield 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.03 427 A Wheaton 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H Emerson 5- 8 -3 5 --- -8.67 308 A Endicott 9-15 -6 -1 -- -4.17 415 A Wellesley 9-10 -1 3 -- -4.76 401 H Plymouth State 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.80 408 H Wheaton 11-14 -3 0 - -3.48OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 N William Smith 18-11 7 -1 +++ 8.32 405 H Springfield 16-12 4 -2 +++ 6.07 322 A MIT 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.28 328 A Mount Holyoke 17- 8 9 3 ++ 5.71 426 N Springfield 9- 7 2 -3 ++ 5.03/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 76.76 Local Power Rank........... 49 Local SOS Rating......... 53.04 Local SOS Rank............. 27 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 122 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 26 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 176 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3