2013 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Maryland Atlantic Coast 22 1 1 2 1 1 4 1 6 37.00 2 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 18 3 4 1 3 2 1 3 6 15.00 3 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 19 3 5 3 2 3 2 2 7 7.00 4 Syracuse Big East 18 4 3 5 5 4 5 4 13 7.00 5 Florida Amer. Lac. Con 18 3 2 13 4 5 6 5 16 25.00 6 Duke Atlantic Coast 14 6 7 12 9 8 8 7 23 0.10 7 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 14 7 11 10 12 9 7 12 28 1.00 8 Virginia Atlantic Coast 11 10 8 4 18 10 3 17 30 2.00 9 Georgetown Big East 13 6 9 6 8 7 14 11 32 0.10 10 Stony Brook America East 17 3 6 37 6 12 19 8 39 5.00 11 Boston College Atlantic Coast 12 8 24 8 16 14 9 18 41 0.10 12 Stanford MPSF 14 6 18 24 15 15 11 16 42 0.10 13 Notre Dame Big East 12 5 12 22 14 16 20 14 50 0.10 14 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 18 3 15 51 10 11 30 10 51 0.10 15 Navy Patriot League 19 2 26 60 7 6 40 6 52 0.10 16 Penn Ivy League 11 6 25 17 21 17 15 20 52 0.10 17 Connecticut Big East 13 5 27 28 13 19 21 13 53 1.00 18 Loyola Big East 11 9 10 11 26 18 13 26 57 0.10 19 Denver MPSF 18 3 19 41 11 13 41 9 63 0.10 20 Towson Colonial 10 9 20 14 31 21 12 33 66 0.10 21 Dartmouth Ivy League 11 8 29 15 28 22 17 28 67 0.10 22 Cornell Ivy League 10 6 23 21 25 24 26 23 73 0.10 23 Princeton Ivy League 10 7 17 16 27 23 23 27 73 0.10 24 Louisville Big East 11 6 16 38 22 30 24 25 79 0.10 25 James Madison Colonial 11 6 22 20 23 20 38 22 80 0.10 26 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 8 10 14 9 41 26 16 38 80 0.10 27 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 10 7 21 19 17 27 36 24 87 0.10 28 Duquesne Atlantic 10 11 7 35 53 30 28 33 31 92 0.10 29 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 13 6 32 73 20 43 35 15 93 0.10 30 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 8 8 36 34 34 34 29 30 93 0.10 31 Richmond Atlantic 10 7 10 28 23 46 33 18 44 95 0.10 32 Rutgers Big East 9 8 38 25 32 29 27 39 95 0.10 33 Delaware Colonial 10 6 30 39 29 25 42 29 96 0.10 34 Albany America East 12 5 13 43 19 31 49 19 99 0.10 35 High Point Big South 10 9 45 52 39 36 31 41 108 0.10 36 George Washingto Atlantic 10 9 8 54 57 45 37 34 42 113 0.10 37 Monmouth Northeast 13 7 62 76 42 38 47 32 117 0.10 38 Canisius Metro Atlantic 14 5 39 70 24 40 57 21 118 0.10 39 Hofstra Colonial 11 8 33 32 40 35 43 43 121 0.10 40 Drexel Colonial 11 7 34 36 35 32 56 37 125 0.10 41 Boston Universit America East 6 10 37 18 52 44 22 62 128 0.10 42 Holy Cross Patriot League 9 10 60 49 69 41 32 57 130 0.10 43 UMBC America East 8 8 31 30 36 42 50 46 138 0.10 44 California MPSF 9 7 42 58 43 46 59 36 141 0.10 45 Temple Atlantic 10 9 8 40 50 51 39 52 50 141 0.10 46 Lafayette Patriot League 9 9 63 63 64 45 48 49 142 0.10 47 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 2 15 46 7 78 57 10 76 143 0.10 48 Southern Califor MPSF 8 10 52 54 60 55 28 61 144 0.10 49 La Salle Atlantic 10 10 6 64 72 33 47 63 35 145 0.10 50 Oregon MPSF 8 9 50 44 58 49 45 53 147 0.10 51 New Hampshire America East 6 11 48 29 73 52 25 73 150 0.10 52 Brown Ivy League 9 6 43 55 37 48 72 34 154 0.10 53 Villanova Big East 6 10 41 35 56 56 39 65 160 0.10 54 Vermont America East 7 11 55 33 66 54 37 70 161 0.10 55 UC Davis MPSF 6 9 59 62 63 63 44 55 162 0.10 56 Yale Ivy League 8 7 49 46 47 51 66 48 165 0.10 57 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 10 8 44 66 54 53 64 52 169 0.10 58 Cincinnati Big East 7 9 72 61 44 64 55 51 170 0.10 59 Davidson Big South 11 7 53 79 38 50 83 40 173 0.10 60 Longwood Big South 10 8 67 74 48 58 74 45 177 0.10 61 William & Mary Colonial 5 11 61 26 67 59 46 74 179 0.10 62 San Diego State MPSF 8 8 51 71 50 69 69 54 192 0.10 63 American Patriot League 8 10 56 56 68 61 68 66 195 0.10 64 Colgate Patriot League 7 8 57 68 62 66 73 59 198 0.10 65 Marist Metro Atlantic 9 10 58 69 70 67 60 72 199 0.10 66 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 8 8 69 77 55 60 79 60 199 0.10 67 Harvard Ivy League 3 11 47 27 75 73 53 75 201 0.10 68 Lehigh Patriot League 4 12 73 47 86 74 51 77 202 0.10 69 Bryant Northeast 10 8 66 86 49 62 84 58 204 0.10 70 Central Connecti Northeast 9 9 71 83 61 65 78 64 207 0.10 71 Winthrop Big South 9 8 85 92 57 72 89 47 208 0.10 72 George Mason Colonial 5 11 70 45 76 68 62 81 211 0.10 73 Bucknell Patriot League 5 12 76 65 83 79 58 78 215 0.10 74 Quinnipiac Northeast 7 9 74 78 71 71 77 67 215 0.10 75 Robert Morris Northeast 8 8 77 91 59 75 88 63 226 0.10 76 Old Dominion Colonial 4 13 68 31 92 70 67 92 229 0.10 77 Iona Metro Atlantic 4 12 83 64 87 78 65 87 230 0.10 78 Sacred Heart Northeast 6 9 80 84 65 76 87 68 231 0.10 79 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 6 11 87 82 77 81 71 79 231 0.10 80 Marquette Independent 2 15 86 40 94 83 54 95 232 0.10 81 Liberty Big South 8 10 82 90 74 77 85 71 233 0.10 82 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 4 9 78 67 72 82 86 69 237 0.10 83 Fresno State MPSF 2 13 88 59 91 87 61 91 239 0.10 84 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 7 11 81 81 79 80 82 80 242 0.10 85 Binghamton America East 2 12 75 42 88 84 70 89 243 0.10 86 Campbell Big South 6 7 93 100 53 89 98 56 243 0.10 87 Siena Metro Atlantic 4 12 79 75 89 86 75 88 249 0.10 88 Columbia Ivy League 3 12 65 48 90 85 76 90 251 0.10 89 Niagara Metro Atlantic 5 11 92 87 80 88 90 86 264 0.10 90 Wagner Northeast 6 11 84 95 82 90 94 83 267 0.10 91 Presbyterian Big South 2 15 95 85 98 92 81 98 271 0.10 92 Coastal Carolina Big South 5 11 94 96 84 91 97 84 272 0.10 93 LIU Brooklyn Northeast 0 16 96 80 99 96 80 99 275 0.10 94 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 1 10 99 93 81 98 99 82 279 0.10 95 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 90 89 93 95 93 93 281 0.10 96 Detroit Atlantic Sun 5 14 89 97 96 94 92 96 282 0.10 97 Saint Francis Northeast 4 13 91 94 95 93 95 94 282 0.10 98 Delaware State Independent 0 11 100 99 85 100 100 85 285 0.10 99 Stetson Atlantic Sun 2 14 97 88 97 97 91 97 285 0.10 100 Howard Atlantic Sun 1 16 98 98 100 99 96 100 295 0.10