Conf = Commonwealth Region = Metro State = MD Nickname = Mustangs Coach = Kathy RaileyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.8525467 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 A Salisbury Capital (23- 0, 89.8) 5-19 302 A Roanoke Old Dominion ( 9- 8, 75.5) 15- 3 308 H St. Mary's (MD) Capital ( 8-10, 76.0) 8- 7 313 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC ( 8-10, 74.6) 10- 8 315 A Occidental SCIAC ( 8-10, 75.9) 7- 5 320 H Hope MIAA ( 6- 9, 62.0) 19- 3 323 H Wittenberg North Coast (12- 4, 76.3) 13-10 328 A Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (13- 5, 78.8) 9- 8 403 A Goucher Landmark ( 7- 9, 72.4) 17- 6 406 H Alvernia Commonwealth ( 6- 9, 70.0) 19- 5 410 H Elizabethtown Commonwealth (12- 7, 78.4) 21-12 413 A Albright Commonwealth (10- 6, 72.1) 16- 7 417 H Messiah Commonwealth (10- 7, 80.6) 13- 8 420 H Widener Commonwealth ( 8- 9, 72.0) 20- 7 423 A Hood Commonwealth ( 3-12, 60.0) 18- 2 427 A Lycoming Commonwealth ( 4-12, 68.8) 17- 6 502 H Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (13- 5, 78.8) 17-11 504 H Elizabethtown Commonwealth (12- 7, 78.4) 12-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A Salisbury 5-19 -14 -10 0.00 302 A Roanoke 15- 3 12 3 +++ 6.01 308 H St. Mary's (MD) 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.28 313 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 10- 8 2 4 - -2.85 315 A Occidental 7- 5 2 3 -1.54 320 H Hope 19- 3 16 20 0.00 323 H Wittenberg 13-10 3 5 - -2.98 328 A Lebanon Valley 9- 8 1 0 0.31 403 A Goucher 17- 6 11 7 + 2.98 406 H Alvernia 19- 5 14 12 0.00 410 H Elizabethtown 21-12 9 3 ++ 5.15 413 A Albright 16- 7 9 7 1.64 417 H Messiah 13- 8 5 1 + 3.40 420 H Widener 20- 7 13 10 0.00 423 A Hood 18- 2 16 19 0.00 427 A Lycoming 17- 6 11 10 0.00 502 H Lebanon Valley 17-11 6 3 + 2.53 504 H Elizabethtown 12-14 -2 3 -- -5.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H St. Mary's (MD) 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.28 504 H Elizabethtown 12-14 -2 3 -- -5.85 313 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 10- 8 2 4 - -2.85 323 H Wittenberg 13-10 3 5 - -2.98OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Roanoke 15- 3 12 3 +++ 6.01 410 H Elizabethtown 21-12 9 3 ++ 5.15 403 A Goucher 17- 6 11 7 + 2.98 417 H Messiah 13- 8 5 1 + 3.40 502 H Lebanon Valley 17-11 6 3 + 2.53/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.85 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 48.55 Local SOS Rank............. 55 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 201 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 11.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0