Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = West/Midwest State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.6007996 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 203 A Jacksonville Atlantic Sun (13- 6, 89.7) 7-15 210 H Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun ( 1-10, 64.6) 22- 3 216 H Denver MPSF (18- 3, 92.5) 9-10 220 A Boston College Atlantic Coas (12- 8, 91.3) 8-13 224 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 97.5) 8-15 302 A Duke Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.8) 12-15 306 A Louisville Big East (11- 6, 92.7) 10-13 313 H Notre Dame Big East (12- 5, 93.1) 11-12 317 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (14- 7, 93.2) 14-20 321 A Penn Ivy League (11- 6, 91.3) 13-14 o 326 H Stanford MPSF (14- 6, 92.5) 4-15 330 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 92.0) 11-12 o 401 H Harvard Ivy League ( 3-11, 87.5) 15-11 407 A Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 8-10, 93.0) 4-19 414 H Florida Amer. Lac. Co (18- 3, 99.1) 10-21 420 H North Carolina Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 98.3) 5-20 502 N Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (14- 7, 93.2) 14-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 203 A Jacksonville 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.74 210 H Kennesaw State 22- 3 19 24 0.00 216 H Denver 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.69 220 A Boston College 8-13 -5 -4 -0.15 224 H Northwestern 8-15 -7 -8 1.75 302 A Duke 12-15 -3 -8 ++ 5.40 306 A Louisville 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.32 313 H Notre Dame 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.33 317 A Penn State 14-20 -6 -6 0.79 321 A Penn 13-14 o -1 -4 + 3.85 326 H Stanford 4-15 -11 -3 --- -6.27 330 A Johns Hopkins 11-12 o -1 -5 ++ 4.55 401 H Harvard 15-11 4 1 + 2.71 407 A Ohio State 4-19 -15 -6 - -3.46 414 H Florida 10-21 -11 -10 0.00 420 H North Carolina 5-20 -15 -9 -0.52 502 N Penn State 14-16 -2 -5 + 3.60UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 H Stanford 4-15 -11 -3 --- -6.27 203 A Jacksonville 7-15 -8 -3 -- -4.74 407 A Ohio State 4-19 -15 -6 - -3.46OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Duke 12-15 -3 -8 ++ 5.40 330 A Johns Hopkins 11-12 o -1 -5 ++ 4.55 216 H Denver 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.69 306 A Louisville 10-13 -3 -6 + 3.32 313 H Notre Dame 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.33 321 A Penn 13-14 o -1 -4 + 3.85 401 H Harvard 15-11 4 1 + 2.71 502 N Penn State 14-16 -2 -5 + 3.60/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.60 Local Power Rank........... 46 Local SOS Rating......... 81.10 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 57 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 93 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 78 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 2-15 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -9.3