Conf = MPSF Region = West/Midwest State = OR Nickname = Ducks Coach = Jen Larsen-BeckGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.1295700 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 H Dartmouth Ivy League (11- 8, 90.4) 7- 8 o 224 H Cincinnati Big East ( 7- 9, 81.8) 16- 5 302 H High Point Big South (10- 9, 87.6) 7- 6 304 H Vermont America East ( 7-11, 86.2) 14-13 2o 308 H Davidson Big South (11- 7, 86.6) 7- 6 316 H Florida Amer. Lac. Co (18- 3, 99.1) 5-13 322 H San Diego State MPSF ( 8- 8, 86.9) 10-12 324 A Marist Metro Atlanti ( 9-10, 85.4) 5- 9 326 A Connecticut Big East (13- 5, 91.0) 14-16 o 330 A Old Dominion Colonial ( 4-13, 83.5) 10- 9 404 H Southern California MPSF ( 8-10, 86.7) 10-12 407 H California MPSF ( 9- 7, 88.1) 10-14 410 A Fresno State MPSF ( 2-13, 76.9) 18- 8 414 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 4- 9, 80.3) 19- 9 419 A Stanford MPSF (14- 6, 92.5) 8-15 421 A UC Davis MPSF ( 6- 9, 85.3) 15- 8 426 A Denver MPSF (18- 3, 92.5) 6-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 H Dartmouth 7- 8 o -1 -2 1.05 224 H Cincinnati 16- 5 11 6 + 3.47 302 H High Point 7- 6 1 0 0.32 304 H Vermont 14-13 2o 1 2 -1.13 308 H Davidson 7- 6 1 1 -0.70 316 H Florida 5-13 -8 -10 + 2.00 322 H San Diego State 10-12 -2 1 - -3.42 324 A Marist 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.52 326 A Connecticut 14-16 o -2 -5 + 3.04 330 A Old Dominion 10- 9 1 2 -1.45 404 H Southern California 10-12 -2 1 - -3.64 407 H California 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.25 410 A Fresno State 18- 8 10 9 0.95 414 H St. Mary's (CA) 19- 9 10 7 + 2.01 419 A Stanford 8-15 -7 -6 -0.42 421 A UC Davis 15- 8 7 0 +++ 6.35 426 A Denver 6-14 -8 -6 -1.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Marist 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.52 407 H California 10-14 -4 0 -- -4.25 322 H San Diego State 10-12 -2 1 - -3.42 404 H Southern California 10-12 -2 1 - -3.64OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A UC Davis 15- 8 7 0 +++ 6.35 224 H Cincinnati 16- 5 11 6 + 3.47 316 H Florida 5-13 -8 -10 + 2.00 326 A Connecticut 14-16 o -2 -5 + 3.04 414 H St. Mary's (CA) 19- 9 10 7 + 2.01/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.13 Local Power Rank........... 50 Local SOS Rating......... 71.25 Local SOS Rank............. 44 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 49 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 71 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 58 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7