Conf = Great Lakes                Region = North        State = OH
   Nickname = Dragons                Coach  = Erica Brown             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.5577011    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 H Shepherd               Independent   (10- 6, 69.4)    11-13   
 310 A Newberry               Independent   ( 8- 9, 65.3)    13- 3   
 311 A Saint Leo              Independent   ( 8- 7, 69.2)     7- 9   
 314 N Saint Michael's        Northeast 10  ( 5-10, 69.4)     9-19   
 316 N Indiana (PA)           PSAC          (13- 3, 81.3)     7-25   
 322 A Mercyhurst             PSAC          (12- 6, 74.9)     5-14   
 324 H Gannon                 PSAC          (10- 8, 74.5)     8-19   
 330 H Young Harris           Independent   ( 1-16, 54.7)    23- 3   
 403 H Findlay                Great Lakes   ( 6-12, 62.3)    21- 5   
 405 A Walsh                  Great Lakes   ( 2- 8, 51.2)    24- 0   
 407 A Wheeling Jesuit        Great Lakes   ( 5-13, 60.2)    19- 4   
 412 H Notre Dame (OH)        Great Lakes   (10- 6, 69.1)    16-15   
 413 H Grand Valley State     Great Lakes   (13- 5, 71.7)    13-15   
 419 A Urbana                 Great Lakes   ( 3-11, 60.0)    17-10   
 421 H Lake Erie              Great Lakes   (13- 5, 69.4)     9-15   
 426 A Alderson-Broaddus      Great Lakes   ( 0-13, 49.6)    27- 2   
 430 H Wheeling Jesuit        Great Lakes   ( 5-13, 60.2)    22- 5   
 503 N Lake Erie              Great Lakes   (13- 5, 69.4)    13-11   
 505 A Grand Valley State     Great Lakes   (13- 5, 71.7)    12-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Shepherd               11-13      -2     0    -     -2.74
   310 A Newberry               13- 3      10     3    +++    6.95
   311 A Saint Leo               7- 9      -2     0          -1.12
   314 N Saint Michael's         9-19     -10     0    ---   -9.88
   316 N Indiana (PA)            7-25     -18   -12           0.00
   322 A Mercyhurst              5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.40
   324 H Gannon                  8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.71
   330 H Young Harris           23- 3      20    15           0.00
   403 H Findlay                21- 5      16     7    +      2.10
   405 A Walsh                  24- 0      24    17           0.00
   407 A Wheeling Jesuit        19- 4      15     8           1.91
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16-15       1     1          -0.12
   413 H Grand Valley State     13-15      -2    -1          -0.52
   419 A Urbana                 17-10       7     8          -1.28
   421 H Lake Erie               9-15      -6     0    ---   -6.79
   426 A Alderson-Broaddus      27- 2      25    18           0.00
   430 H Wheeling Jesuit        22- 5      17     9           0.04
   503 N Lake Erie              13-11       2     0    +      2.14
   505 A Grand Valley State     12-16      -4    -3          -0.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 N Saint Michael's         9-19     -10     0    ---   -9.88
   421 H Lake Erie               9-15      -6     0    ---   -6.79
   324 H Gannon                  8-19     -11    -4    --    -5.71
   303 H Shepherd               11-13      -2     0    -     -2.74
   322 A Mercyhurst              5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Newberry               13- 3      10     3    +++    6.95
   403 H Findlay                21- 5      16     7    +      2.10
   503 N Lake Erie              13-11       2     0    +      2.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.25 Local Power Rank...........    45
 Local SOS Rating......... 36.33 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    84
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    57
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   25.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   25.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   25.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/