Conf = Great Lakes Region = North State = OH Nickname = Dragons Coach = Erica BrownGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.5577011 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 303 H Shepherd Independent (10- 6, 69.4) 11-13 310 A Newberry Independent ( 8- 9, 65.3) 13- 3 311 A Saint Leo Independent ( 8- 7, 69.2) 7- 9 314 N Saint Michael's Northeast 10 ( 5-10, 69.4) 9-19 316 N Indiana (PA) PSAC (13- 3, 81.3) 7-25 322 A Mercyhurst PSAC (12- 6, 74.9) 5-14 324 H Gannon PSAC (10- 8, 74.5) 8-19 330 H Young Harris Independent ( 1-16, 54.7) 23- 3 403 H Findlay Great Lakes ( 6-12, 62.3) 21- 5 405 A Walsh Great Lakes ( 2- 8, 51.2) 24- 0 407 A Wheeling Jesuit Great Lakes ( 5-13, 60.2) 19- 4 412 H Notre Dame (OH) Great Lakes (10- 6, 69.1) 16-15 413 H Grand Valley State Great Lakes (13- 5, 71.7) 13-15 419 A Urbana Great Lakes ( 3-11, 60.0) 17-10 421 H Lake Erie Great Lakes (13- 5, 69.4) 9-15 426 A Alderson-Broaddus Great Lakes ( 0-13, 49.6) 27- 2 430 H Wheeling Jesuit Great Lakes ( 5-13, 60.2) 22- 5 503 N Lake Erie Great Lakes (13- 5, 69.4) 13-11 505 A Grand Valley State Great Lakes (13- 5, 71.7) 12-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Shepherd 11-13 -2 0 - -2.74 310 A Newberry 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.95 311 A Saint Leo 7- 9 -2 0 -1.12 314 N Saint Michael's 9-19 -10 0 --- -9.88 316 N Indiana (PA) 7-25 -18 -12 0.00 322 A Mercyhurst 5-14 -9 -6 - -2.40 324 H Gannon 8-19 -11 -4 -- -5.71 330 H Young Harris 23- 3 20 15 0.00 403 H Findlay 21- 5 16 7 + 2.10 405 A Walsh 24- 0 24 17 0.00 407 A Wheeling Jesuit 19- 4 15 8 1.91 412 H Notre Dame (OH) 16-15 1 1 -0.12 413 H Grand Valley State 13-15 -2 -1 -0.52 419 A Urbana 17-10 7 8 -1.28 421 H Lake Erie 9-15 -6 0 --- -6.79 426 A Alderson-Broaddus 27- 2 25 18 0.00 430 H Wheeling Jesuit 22- 5 17 9 0.04 503 N Lake Erie 13-11 2 0 + 2.14 505 A Grand Valley State 12-16 -4 -3 -0.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 N Saint Michael's 9-19 -10 0 --- -9.88 421 H Lake Erie 9-15 -6 0 --- -6.79 324 H Gannon 8-19 -11 -4 -- -5.71 303 H Shepherd 11-13 -2 0 - -2.74 322 A Mercyhurst 5-14 -9 -6 - -2.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Newberry 13- 3 10 3 +++ 6.95 403 H Findlay 21- 5 16 7 + 2.10 503 N Lake Erie 13-11 2 0 + 2.14/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 69.25 Local Power Rank........... 45 Local SOS Rating......... 36.33 Local SOS Rank............. 60 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 84 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 57 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 25.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 25.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 25.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0