Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.7071991    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Queens                 Carolinas     (10-10, 71.2)    21-12   
 302 H Stonehill              Northeast 10  (13- 7, 79.5)    16-15   
 304 H Regis (CO)             WILA          (10- 5, 72.5)    19- 9   
 306 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 8- 9, 70.0)    19- 7   
 311 H Bentley                Northeast 10  (11- 7, 77.9)    12-11 2o
 313 H Lenoir-Rhyne           Independent   ( 7- 9, 70.3)    11- 5   
 316 H Limestone              Carolinas     (20- 2, 81.6)    12-13   
 323 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  ( 5-11, 73.1)    17- 7   
 327 H Seton Hill             East Coast    ( 3- 1, 73.7)   
 403 A Florida Southern       Independent   (11- 4, 77.2)    12-10   
 408 A Shepherd               Independent   (10- 6, 69.4)    18- 9   
 411 A West Chester           PSAC          (15- 4, 82.5)    12- 9   
 413 A Lindenwood             WILA          (15- 2, 74.0)    13-12   
 414 A McKendree              WILA          ( 1-14, 59.8)    19- 3   
 416 H Saint Leo              Independent   ( 8- 7, 69.2)    19- 4   
 421 A Lenoir-Rhyne           Independent   ( 7- 9, 70.3)    15- 9   
 428 H Florida Southern       Independent   (11- 4, 77.2)    18-12   
 511 H Lock Haven             PSAC          (15- 3, 81.0)    11-10   
 518 N Limestone              Carolinas     (20- 2, 81.6)    10-11 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Queens                 21-12       9     7           1.47
   302 H Stonehill              16-15       1     1          -0.16
   304 H Regis (CO)             19- 9      10     8           1.88
   306 H Belmont Abbey          19- 7      12    10           0.00
   311 H Bentley                12-11 2o    1     2          -1.77
   313 H Lenoir-Rhyne           11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   316 H Limestone              12-13      -1     0          -0.08
   323 H Merrimack              17- 7      10     7    +      2.42
   403 A Florida Southern       12-10       2     1           0.40
   408 A Shepherd               18- 9       9     9          -0.34
   411 A West Chester           12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.72
   413 A Lindenwood             13-12       1     4    -     -3.79
   414 A McKendree              19- 3      16    19           0.00
   416 H Saint Leo              19- 4      15    11           0.00
   421 A Lenoir-Rhyne           15- 9       6     8    -     -2.47
   428 H Florida Southern       18-12       6     3    +      2.54
   511 H Lock Haven             11-10       1     0           1.34
   518 N Limestone              10-11 2o   -1    -1           0.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Lenoir-Rhyne           11- 5       6    10    --    -4.00
   413 A Lindenwood             13-12       1     4    -     -3.79
   421 A Lenoir-Rhyne           15- 9       6     8    -     -2.47

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A West Chester           12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.72
   323 H Merrimack              17- 7      10     7    +      2.42
   428 H Florida Southern       18-12       6     3    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.71 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.18 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/