Conf = Northeast Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katy PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.6978302 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 H Detroit Atlantic Sun ( 5-14, 76.6) 13- 7 224 A Howard Atlantic Sun ( 1-16, 67.4) 20- 7 302 A Niagara Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, 76.1) 18- 7 306 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (14- 5, 88.6) 5-16 309 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 89.3) 11-16 312 A Davidson Big South (11- 7, 86.6) 6-13 316 A Liberty Big South ( 8-10, 79.2) 9- 6 322 H Bryant Northeast (10- 8, 84.0) 7-13 324 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 9- 9, 82.9) 7-14 328 A LIU Brooklyn Northeast ( 0-16, 71.2) 19-11 330 A Wagner Northeast ( 6-11, 78.9) 12- 7 405 H Monmouth Northeast (13- 7, 84.6) 3-14 407 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 7-11, 79.6) 14- 9 412 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 4-13, 76.3) 21-10 419 A Quinnipiac Northeast ( 7- 9, 81.6) 15-16 421 A Sacred Heart Northeast ( 6- 9, 79.8) 8-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Detroit 13- 7 6 5 0.74 224 A Howard 20- 7 13 12 0.00 302 A Niagara 18- 7 11 3 +++ 6.56 306 H Canisius 5-16 -11 -6 - -3.27 309 H Duquesne 11-16 -5 -7 + 2.45 312 A Davidson 6-13 -7 -7 0.10 316 A Liberty 9- 6 3 0 + 2.73 322 H Bryant 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.85 324 H Central Connecticut 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.98 328 A LIU Brooklyn 19-11 8 8 -0.35 330 A Wagner 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.39 405 H Monmouth 3-14 -11 -2 --- -7.33 407 H Mount St. Mary's 14- 9 5 2 + 2.67 412 A Saint Francis 21-10 11 3 +++ 6.79 419 A Quinnipiac 15-16 -1 -2 1.10 421 A Sacred Heart 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.68UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Monmouth 3-14 -11 -2 --- -7.33 421 A Sacred Heart 8-16 -8 0 --- -7.68 324 H Central Connecticut 7-14 -7 -1 -- -5.98 306 H Canisius 5-16 -11 -6 - -3.27 322 H Bryant 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 A Niagara 18- 7 11 3 +++ 6.56 412 A Saint Francis 21-10 11 3 +++ 6.79 330 A Wagner 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.39 309 H Duquesne 11-16 -5 -7 + 2.45 316 A Liberty 9- 6 3 0 + 2.73 407 H Mount St. Mary's 14- 9 5 2 + 2.67/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.70 Local Power Rank........... 77 Local SOS Rating......... 58.11 Local SOS Rank............. 91 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 75 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 77 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 59 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7