Conf = Great Lakes                Region = North        State = OH
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Torrey McGowan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.6957855    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Shepherd               Independent   (10- 6, 69.4)    13-12   
 311 A Mount St. Joseph       Midwest       ( 7- 6, 57.9)    17- 4   
 314 A Gannon                 PSAC          (10- 8, 74.5)     9-19   
 316 H West Virginia Wesleyan Independent   ( 4-11, 58.7)    13- 2   
 323 A Davenport              NAIA NWLL     ( 8- 8, 58.5)    16- 2   
 327 H Monroe                               (17- 0, 81.9)     8-16   
 403 H Lake Erie              Great Lakes   (13- 5, 69.4)    15-20   
 405 H Findlay                Great Lakes   ( 6-12, 62.3)    24-11   
 407 H Walsh                  Great Lakes   ( 2- 8, 51.2)    20- 1   
 412 A Tiffin                 Great Lakes   (10- 9, 69.2)    15-16   
 419 A Wheeling Jesuit        Great Lakes   ( 5-13, 60.2)    20- 7   
 421 H Grand Valley State     Great Lakes   (13- 5, 71.7)     7-20   
 426 A Urbana                 Great Lakes   ( 3-11, 60.0)    19- 8   
 428 A Alderson-Broaddus      Great Lakes   ( 0-13, 49.6)    23- 3   
 430 H Findlay                Great Lakes   ( 6-12, 62.3)    25-11   
 503 A Grand Valley State     Great Lakes   (13- 5, 71.7)    10-28   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Shepherd               13-12       1     0           0.45
   311 A Mount St. Joseph       17- 4      13     9          n/a  
   314 A Gannon                  9-19     -10    -6    -     -3.66
   316 H West Virginia Wesleyan 13- 2      11    11           0.00
   323 A Davenport              16- 2      14     9           0.33
   327 H Monroe                  8-16      -8   -11          n/a  
   403 H Lake Erie              15-20      -5     0    --    -5.60
   405 H Findlay                24-11      13     7    +      2.29
   407 H Walsh                  20- 1      19    18           0.00
   412 A Tiffin                 15-16      -1    -1           0.12
   419 A Wheeling Jesuit        20- 7      13     7    +      2.10
   421 H Grand Valley State      7-20     -13    -1    ---   -8.33
   426 A Urbana                 19- 8      11     8           1.91
   428 A Alderson-Broaddus      23- 3      20    18           0.00
   430 H Findlay                25-11      14     7    +      2.29
   503 A Grand Valley State     10-28     -18    -3    ---   -6.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Mount St. Joseph       17- 4   
   327 H Monroe                  8-16   
   421 H Grand Valley State      7-20     -13    -1    ---   -8.33
   503 A Grand Valley State     10-28     -18    -3    ---   -6.46
   311 A Mount St. Joseph       17- 4   
   327 H Monroe                  8-16   
   403 H Lake Erie              15-20      -5     0    --    -5.60
   311 A Mount St. Joseph       17- 4   
   314 A Gannon                  9-19     -10    -6    -     -3.66
   327 H Monroe                  8-16   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Mount St. Joseph       17- 4   
   327 H Monroe                  8-16   
   311 A Mount St. Joseph       17- 4   
   327 H Monroe                  8-16   
   311 A Mount St. Joseph       17- 4   
   327 H Monroe                  8-16   
   405 H Findlay                24-11      13     7    +      2.29
   419 A Wheeling Jesuit        20- 7      13     7    +      2.10
   430 H Findlay                25-11      14     7    +      2.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.05 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 32.92 Local SOS Rank.............    72
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    44
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/