Conf = Commonwealth Region = Metro State = PA Nickname = Falcons Coach = Heather GreerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.6369171 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 227 H McDaniel Centennial (11- 9, 77.2) 16- 4 302 A Gettysburg Centennial (19- 2, 86.2) 8-10 306 H Dickinson Centennial ( 7- 9, 79.2) 9-11 309 H College of New Jersey Independent (15- 5, 84.5) 10-16 313 A Mary Washington Capital (11- 7, 79.0) 10- 9 o 320 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (16- 5, 85.5) 7- 8 326 H York Capital (14- 5, 83.1) 17-15 328 H Widener Commonwealth ( 8- 9, 72.0) 16- 6 403 A Lycoming Commonwealth ( 4-12, 68.8) 17- 5 405 A Salisbury Capital (23- 0, 89.8) 1-14 409 H Hood Commonwealth ( 3-12, 60.0) 17- 1 413 A Elizabethtown Commonwealth (12- 7, 78.4) 9- 8 o 417 A Stevenson Commonwealth (16- 2, 80.9) 8-13 420 H Lebanon Valley Commonwealth (13- 5, 78.8) 15-12 423 A Albright Commonwealth (10- 6, 72.1) 15- 4 427 H Alvernia Commonwealth ( 6- 9, 70.0) 18- 4 502 H Elizabethtown Commonwealth (12- 7, 78.4) 15-17 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H McDaniel 16- 4 12 4 ++ 5.22 302 A Gettysburg 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 5.00 306 H Dickinson 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.83 309 H College of New Jersey 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.54 313 A Mary Washington 10- 9 o 1 0 0.78 320 H Franklin & Marshall 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.52 326 H York 17-15 2 -1 + 3.11 328 H Widener 16- 6 10 10 0.00 403 A Lycoming 17- 5 12 10 0.00 405 A Salisbury 1-14 -13 -10 0.00 409 H Hood 17- 1 16 21 0.00 413 A Elizabethtown 9- 8 o 1 0 0.14 417 A Stevenson 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.40 420 H Lebanon Valley 15-12 3 3 -0.25 423 A Albright 15- 4 11 7 + 2.85 427 H Alvernia 18- 4 14 12 0.00 502 H Elizabethtown 15-17 o -2 3 -- -5.63UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Dickinson 9-11 -2 2 -- -4.83 502 H Elizabethtown 15-17 o -2 3 -- -5.63 309 H College of New Jersey 10-16 -6 -2 - -3.54 417 A Stevenson 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H McDaniel 16- 4 12 4 ++ 5.22 302 A Gettysburg 8-10 -2 -6 ++ 5.00 320 H Franklin & Marshall 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.52 326 H York 17-15 2 -1 + 3.11 423 A Albright 15- 4 11 7 + 2.85/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.64 Local Power Rank........... 25 Local SOS Rating......... 54.39 Local SOS Rank............. 24 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 23 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 126 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 47 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.7