Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Lancers Coach = Elaine JonesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.9722900 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Howard Atlantic Sun ( 1-16, 67.4) 22- 2 220 H George Mason Colonial ( 5-11, 83.3) 12- 9 226 A Campbell Big South ( 6- 7, 75.7) 24-12 308 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 9- 9, 82.9) 11-10 309 A Stony Brook America East (17- 3, 97.0) 3-21 313 H Winthrop Big South ( 9- 8, 78.8) 14-11 316 H New Hampshire America East ( 6-11, 87.4) 10-15 320 A Old Dominion Colonial ( 4-13, 83.5) 17-11 323 A Davidson Big South (11- 7, 86.6) 7-17 327 A High Point Big South (10- 9, 87.6) 8-13 330 H William & Mary Colonial ( 5-11, 84.7) 12-10 402 H Navy Patriot Leagu (19- 2, 91.2) 9-19 405 H Coastal Carolina Big South ( 5-11, 75.1) 21- 8 410 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 8- 8, 89.3) 8-14 414 A Presbyterian Big South ( 2-15, 72.3) 21- 8 417 A American Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 85.5) 6- 7 420 H Liberty Big South ( 8-10, 79.2) 19-12 426 N High Point Big South (10- 9, 87.6) 7-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Howard 22- 2 20 17 0.00 220 H George Mason 12- 9 3 1 1.12 226 A Campbell 24-12 12 7 + 2.94 308 A Central Connecticut 11-10 1 0 1.12 309 A Stony Brook 3-21 -18 -14 0.00 313 H Winthrop 14-11 3 6 - -3.39 316 H New Hampshire 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.75 320 A Old Dominion 17-11 6 0 +++ 6.71 323 A Davidson 7-17 -10 -3 --- -6.17 327 A High Point 8-13 -5 -4 -0.14 330 H William & Mary 12-10 2 0 1.58 402 H Navy 9-19 -10 -6 - -3.93 405 H Coastal Carolina 21- 8 13 10 0.00 410 A Virginia Tech 8-14 -6 -6 0.53 414 A Presbyterian 21- 8 13 10 0.00 417 A American 6- 7 -1 -2 1.73 420 H Liberty 19-12 7 5 1.08 426 N High Point 7-17 -10 -3 --- -6.33UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 A Davidson 7-17 -10 -3 --- -6.17 426 N High Point 7-17 -10 -3 --- -6.33 313 H Winthrop 14-11 3 6 - -3.39 316 H New Hampshire 10-15 -5 -2 - -2.75 402 H Navy 9-19 -10 -6 - -3.93OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Old Dominion 17-11 6 0 +++ 6.71 226 A Campbell 24-12 12 7 + 2.94/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.97 Local Power Rank........... 67 Local SOS Rating......... 63.75 Local SOS Rank............. 74 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 58 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 56 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 48 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3