Conf = Big South                  Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Regan Denham            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.2427902    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 2-14, 69.3)    16- 3   
 216 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (19- 2, 91.2)     7-15   
 224 H Lafayette              Patriot Leagu ( 9- 9, 84.5)    10-16   
 301 A Delaware State         Independent   ( 0-11, 61.4)    24- 4   
 307 H Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 4-13, 76.3)     9- 5   
 310 H Wagner                 Northeast     ( 6-11, 78.9)    12-11   
 314 A Cincinnati             Big East      ( 7- 9, 81.8)     3- 7   
 316 H Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 8- 8, 80.7)     6- 9   
 320 A George Mason           Colonial      ( 5-11, 83.3)     9-14   
 330 H Davidson               Big South     (11- 7, 86.6)     5-12   
 401 H Campbell               Big South     ( 6- 7, 75.7)     8- 6   
 403 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 8- 8, 89.3)     6-15   
 405 H Presbyterian           Big South     ( 2-15, 72.3)    16-10   
 407 A High Point             Big South     (10- 9, 87.6)     8-15   
 412 A Coastal Carolina       Big South     ( 5-11, 75.1)     7- 6   
 414 A Winthrop               Big South     ( 9- 8, 78.8)    12-11 2o
 420 A Longwood               Big South     (10- 8, 84.0)    12-19   
 426 A Davidson               Big South     (11- 7, 86.6)     8-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Stetson                16- 3      13     8           1.27
   216 H Navy                    7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   224 H Lafayette              10-16      -6    -4          -1.95
   301 A Delaware State         24- 4      20    16           0.00
   307 H Saint Francis           9- 5       4     4          -0.13
   310 H Wagner                 12-11       1     1          -0.53
   314 A Cincinnati              3- 7      -4    -3          -0.26
   316 H Robert Morris           6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.73
   320 A George Mason            9-14      -5    -5           0.23
   330 H Davidson                5-12      -7    -6          -0.82
   401 H Campbell                8- 6       2     4    -     -2.70
   403 H Virginia Tech           6-15      -9    -8          -0.11
   405 H Presbyterian           16-10       6     8    -     -2.15
   407 A High Point              8-15      -7    -9    +      2.59
   412 A Coastal Carolina        7- 6       1     3    -     -2.00
   414 A Winthrop               12-11 2o    1     0           1.72
   420 A Longwood               12-19      -7    -5          -1.08
   426 A Davidson                8-17      -9    -8          -0.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Robert Morris           6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.73
   401 H Campbell                8- 6       2     4    -     -2.70
   405 H Presbyterian           16-10       6     8    -     -2.15
   412 A Coastal Carolina        7- 6       1     3    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Navy                    7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   407 A High Point              8-15      -7    -9    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.24 Local Power Rank...........    82
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.49 Local SOS Rank.............    90
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    77
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    74
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/