Conf = Big South Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Regan DenhamGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.2427902 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Stetson Atlantic Sun ( 2-14, 69.3) 16- 3 216 H Navy Patriot Leagu (19- 2, 91.2) 7-15 224 H Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 9- 9, 84.5) 10-16 301 A Delaware State Independent ( 0-11, 61.4) 24- 4 307 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 4-13, 76.3) 9- 5 310 H Wagner Northeast ( 6-11, 78.9) 12-11 314 A Cincinnati Big East ( 7- 9, 81.8) 3- 7 316 H Robert Morris Northeast ( 8- 8, 80.7) 6- 9 320 A George Mason Colonial ( 5-11, 83.3) 9-14 330 H Davidson Big South (11- 7, 86.6) 5-12 401 H Campbell Big South ( 6- 7, 75.7) 8- 6 403 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 8- 8, 89.3) 6-15 405 H Presbyterian Big South ( 2-15, 72.3) 16-10 407 A High Point Big South (10- 9, 87.6) 8-15 412 A Coastal Carolina Big South ( 5-11, 75.1) 7- 6 414 A Winthrop Big South ( 9- 8, 78.8) 12-11 2o 420 A Longwood Big South (10- 8, 84.0) 12-19 426 A Davidson Big South (11- 7, 86.6) 8-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Stetson 16- 3 13 8 1.27 216 H Navy 7-15 -8 -10 + 2.00 224 H Lafayette 10-16 -6 -4 -1.95 301 A Delaware State 24- 4 20 16 0.00 307 H Saint Francis 9- 5 4 4 -0.13 310 H Wagner 12-11 1 1 -0.53 314 A Cincinnati 3- 7 -4 -3 -0.26 316 H Robert Morris 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.73 320 A George Mason 9-14 -5 -5 0.23 330 H Davidson 5-12 -7 -6 -0.82 401 H Campbell 8- 6 2 4 - -2.70 403 H Virginia Tech 6-15 -9 -8 -0.11 405 H Presbyterian 16-10 6 8 - -2.15 407 A High Point 8-15 -7 -9 + 2.59 412 A Coastal Carolina 7- 6 1 3 - -2.00 414 A Winthrop 12-11 2o 1 0 1.72 420 A Longwood 12-19 -7 -5 -1.08 426 A Davidson 8-17 -9 -8 -0.44UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 H Robert Morris 6- 9 -3 0 - -2.73 401 H Campbell 8- 6 2 4 - -2.70 405 H Presbyterian 16-10 6 8 - -2.15 412 A Coastal Carolina 7- 6 1 3 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Navy 7-15 -8 -10 + 2.00 407 A High Point 8-15 -7 -9 + 2.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.24 Local Power Rank........... 82 Local SOS Rating......... 58.49 Local SOS Rank............. 90 Local RPI Rating......... 0.42 Local RPI Rank............. 77 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 54 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 74 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0