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Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = South State = DC Nickname = Colonials Coach = Tara HannafordGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.5763397 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Howard Atlantic Sun ( 1-16, 67.4) 22- 7 216 H Drexel Colonial (11- 7, 89.4) 3-10 222 H Denver MPSF (18- 3, 92.5) 6-17 227 H George Mason Colonial ( 5-11, 83.3) 10- 5 303 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 81.0) 11- 9 307 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 9-10, 84.8) 11- 9 313 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 7-11, 79.6) 16- 7 316 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 92.0) 6-16 320 H Navy Patriot Leagu (19- 2, 91.2) 6- 9 329 H Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 90.4) 11-10 405 H La Salle Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 84.4) 12- 3 407 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (18- 3, 92.9) 9-10 412 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 6-11, 77.7) 19- 7 414 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 89.3) 5- 6 419 A Temple Atlantic 10 ( 9- 8, 88.4) 9-12 421 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 8- 8, 83.4) 12- 8 426 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (18- 3, 92.9) 5-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Howard 22- 7 15 17 0.00 216 H Drexel 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.35 222 H Denver 6-17 -11 -4 -- -5.29 227 H George Mason 10- 5 5 4 0.52 303 H Bucknell 11- 9 2 6 -- -4.81 307 H Holy Cross 11- 9 2 3 -1.00 313 A Mount St. Mary's 16- 7 9 5 + 3.17 316 A Johns Hopkins 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.42 320 H Navy 6- 9 -3 -3 0.47 329 H Richmond 11-10 1 -2 + 3.60 405 H La Salle 12- 3 9 3 ++ 5.60 407 A Massachusetts 9-10 -1 -7 +++ 6.50 412 H St. Bonaventure 19- 7 12 10 0.00 414 H Duquesne 5- 6 -1 -1 0.57 419 A Temple 9-12 -3 -2 -0.01 421 A Saint Joseph's 12- 8 4 1 + 2.02 426 A Massachusetts 5-13 -8 -7 -0.50UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Drexel 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.35 222 H Denver 6-17 -11 -4 -- -5.29 303 H Bucknell 11- 9 2 6 -- -4.81 316 A Johns Hopkins 6-16 -10 -6 - -3.42OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 A Massachusetts 9-10 -1 -7 +++ 6.50 405 H La Salle 12- 3 9 3 ++ 5.60 313 A Mount St. Mary's 16- 7 9 5 + 3.17 329 H Richmond 11-10 1 -2 + 3.60 421 A Saint Joseph's 12- 8 4 1 + 2.02
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.58 Local Power Rank........... 54 Local SOS Rating......... 69.15 Local SOS Rank............. 57 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 39 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 45 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3