Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Lauren Hay              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.2840729    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A Longwood               Big South     (10- 8, 84.0)     9-12   
 223 H Brown                  Ivy League    ( 9- 6, 87.8)    10-15   
 227 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 86.6)     5-10   
 301 H Bucknell               Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 81.0)    12- 8   
 304 H American               Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 85.5)    14-10   
 313 A Albany                 America East  (12- 5, 93.0)     5-17   
 316 A Marist                 Metro Atlanti ( 9-10, 85.4)    10- 9   
 320 H Liberty                Big South     ( 8-10, 79.2)    14- 9   
 323 H High Point             Big South     (10- 9, 87.6)    14-13   
 327 H James Madison          Colonial      (11- 6, 91.8)     7-13   
 405 H Towson                 Colonial      (10- 9, 92.5)     4-10   
 407 H Delaware               Colonial      (10- 6, 90.3)     8-18   
 412 A Drexel                 Colonial      (11- 7, 89.4)     5-10   
 414 A Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 8, 89.5)     7-18   
 419 A Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 4-13, 83.5)    10-15   
 421 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 5-11, 84.7)    12-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Longwood                9-12      -3    -1          -1.12
   223 H Brown                  10-15      -5    -3          -1.62
   227 A George Washington       5-10      -5    -4          -0.52
   301 H Bucknell               12- 8       4     3           0.48
   304 H American               14-10       4    -1    ++     5.04
   313 A Albany                  5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   316 A Marist                 10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.33
   320 H Liberty                14- 9       5     5          -0.23
   323 H High Point             14-13       1    -3    ++     4.17
   327 H James Madison           7-13      -6    -7           1.37
   405 H Towson                  4-10      -6    -8    +      2.00
   407 H Delaware                8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.16
   412 A Drexel                  5-10      -5    -7    +      2.31
   414 A Hofstra                 7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.60
   419 A Old Dominion           10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.60
   421 H William & Mary         12-16      -4     0    -     -3.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Delaware                8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.16
   414 A Hofstra                 7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.60
   419 A Old Dominion           10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.60
   421 H William & Mary         12-16      -4     0    -     -3.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H American               14-10       4    -1    ++     5.04
   316 A Marist                 10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.33
   323 H High Point             14-13       1    -3    ++     4.17
   405 H Towson                  4-10      -6    -8    +      2.00
   412 A Drexel                  5-10      -5    -7    +      2.31
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.28 Local Power Rank...........    70
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.85 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    38
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    76
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/