Erie                          5 - 6


 
                                                           State = NY
   Nickname = Kats                   Coach  = Jim Battin              



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   81.1567841    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 N Herkimer                             ( 2- 9, 59.3)    12-12   
 321 N Anne Arundel                         (13- 3, 75.9)     4-19   
 323 N Catonsville                          ( 0-13, 56.7)    17-10   
 330 H Genesee                              ( 0- 8, 50.0)    21- 4   
 403 A Mohawk Valley                        ( 7- 5, 66.5)     7-13   
 408 A Niagara County                       ( 2- 7, 59.0)    15- 5   
 413 A Herkimer                             ( 2- 9, 59.3)     8-18   
 417 H Niagara County                       ( 2- 7, 59.0)    13- 7   
 420 H Broome                               ( 5- 7, 61.4)    25- 5   
 424 A Monroe                               (17- 0, 81.9)     2-22   
 426 H Onondaga                             (12- 3, 79.0)     4-21   
 428 A Jefferson                            ( 8- 4, 67.0)     8-18   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 N Herkimer               12-12       0     3    -     -3.83
   321 N Anne Arundel            4-19     -15   -12           0.00
   323 N Catonsville            17-10       7     6           0.51
   330 H Genesee                21- 4      17    13           0.00
   403 A Mohawk Valley           7-13      -6    -4          -1.73
   408 A Niagara County         15- 5      10     3    +++    6.68
   413 A Herkimer                8-18     -10     2    ---  -12.95
   417 H Niagara County         13- 7       6     5           0.92
   420 H Broome                 25- 5      20     2    +++    7.32
   424 A Monroe                  2-22     -20   -19           0.00
   426 H Onondaga                4-21     -17   -14           0.00
   428 A Jefferson               8-18     -10    -4    --    -5.25


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Herkimer                8-18     -10     2    ---  -12.95
   428 A Jefferson               8-18     -10    -4    --    -5.25
   320 N Herkimer               12-12       0     3    -     -3.83


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Niagara County         15- 5      10     3    +++    6.68
   420 H Broome                 25- 5      20     2    +++    7.32




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.16 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 34.85 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -15.7


  
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