Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = West/Midwest State = PA
   Nickname = Dukes                  Coach  = Michael Scerbo          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3324203    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 4-13, 76.3)    20- 6   
 223 A Marquette              Independent   ( 2-15, 78.7)    11- 7   
 227 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (14- 7, 93.2)     9-16   
 302 H Notre Dame             Big East      (12- 5, 93.1)     8-10   
 307 N Stony Brook            America East  (17- 3, 97.0)     3-16   
 309 A Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 8- 8, 80.7)    16-11   
 317 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti (14- 5, 88.6)     9-11  o
 322 H Niagara                Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, 76.1)    22- 4   
 326 A Bucknell               Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 81.0)    18- 9   
 329 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 6-11, 77.7)    18- 1   
 405 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 8- 8, 83.4)    16- 1   
 407 H Temple                 Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 88.4)     9-16   
 412 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 90.4)    11- 8   
 414 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 86.6)     6- 5   
 419 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   (10- 6, 84.4)    20- 6   
 421 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (18- 3, 92.9)     6-16   
 426 N Temple                 Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 88.4)    12- 8   
 428 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (18- 3, 92.9)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Saint Francis          20- 6      14    14           0.00
   223 A Marquette              11- 7       4     9    --    -5.43
   227 H Penn State              9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.32
   302 H Notre Dame              8-10      -2    -2           0.59
   307 N Stony Brook             3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.29
   309 A Robert Morris          16-11       5     7    -     -2.45
   317 A Canisius                9-11  o   -2     0          -1.53
   322 H Niagara                22- 4      18    14           0.00
   326 A Bucknell               18- 9       9     7           1.81
   329 A St. Bonaventure        18- 1      17    10           0.00
   405 H Saint Joseph's         16- 1      15     7    +      2.89
   407 H Temple                  9-16      -7     2    ---   -9.15
   412 A Richmond               11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.22
   414 A George Washington       6- 5       1     1          -0.57
   419 H La Salle               20- 6      14     6    +      3.84
   421 A Massachusetts           6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.25
   426 N Temple                 12- 8       4     0    +      3.04
   428 A Massachusetts           7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Temple                  9-16      -7     2    ---   -9.15
   223 A Marquette              11- 7       4     9    --    -5.43
   227 H Penn State              9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.32
   421 A Massachusetts           6-16     -10    -4    --    -5.25
   307 N Stony Brook             3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.29
   309 A Robert Morris          16-11       5     7    -     -2.45
   428 A Massachusetts           7-14      -7    -4    -     -2.25

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Richmond               11- 8       3    -2    ++     5.22
   405 H Saint Joseph's         16- 1      15     7    +      2.89
   419 H La Salle               20- 6      14     6    +      3.84
   426 N Temple                 12- 8       4     0    +      3.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.33 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.48 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/