Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kathy Taylor            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.6360168    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H William Smith          Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 79.9)    15- 5   
 307 H Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 7- 7, 80.1)    18- 6   
 309 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (16- 5, 85.5)    15- 9   
 313 N Salisbury              Capital       (23- 0, 89.8)     7-13   
 316 A College of New Jersey  Independent   (15- 5, 84.5)    15-13   
 321 A St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 78.6)    15- 5   
 323 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (12- 6, 83.5)     9- 8   
 330 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 6, 85.9)    14-10   
 402 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 9- 9, 78.8)    20- 7   
 406 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 8- 8, 76.1)    15- 5   
 409 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (12- 6, 82.4)    12-11  o
 411 N Catholic (DC)          Landmark      ( 8-10, 77.6)    18- 9   
 413 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 8- 8, 76.8)     8- 3   
 420 A New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 3-10, 72.5)    22-10   
 423 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4-10, 71.6)    22- 3   
 425 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 9- 8, 78.4)    17- 4   
 427 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        (14- 3, 82.0)    16- 9   
 503 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (12- 6, 82.4)    16- 6   
 504 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (13- 6, 85.9)    12- 5   
 508 H Keuka                  NEAC West     (13- 4, 70.6)    23- 2   
 511 H Adrian                 MIAA          (17- 3, 75.4)    21- 3   
 512 H Bowdoin                NESCAC        (15- 4, 85.0)    14- 4   
 518 N Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        (21- 1, 88.9)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H William Smith          15- 5      10    10           0.00
   307 H Union                  18- 6      12     9           0.07
   309 A Franklin & Marshall    15- 9       6     1    ++     4.30
   313 N Salisbury               7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.80
   316 A College of New Jersey  15-13       2     2          -0.76
   321 A St. Lawrence           15- 5      10     8           1.31
   323 A Ithaca                  9- 8       1     3    -     -2.74
   330 H Geneseo                14-10       4     4          -0.16
   402 H Oneonta                20- 7      13    11           0.00
   406 H Oswego                 15- 5      10    13           0.00
   409 A Brockport              12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.89
   411 N Catholic (DC)          18- 9       9    11          -1.00
   413 A Buffalo State           8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   420 A New Paltz              22-10      12    14           0.00
   423 A Potsdam                22- 3      19    15           0.00
   425 H Nazareth               17- 4      13    11           0.00
   427 H Fredonia               16- 9       7     7          -0.99
   503 H Brockport              16- 6      10     7    +      2.34
   504 H Geneseo                12- 5       7     4    +      2.84
   508 H Keuka                  23- 2      21    19           0.00
   511 H Adrian                 21- 3      18    14           0.00
   512 H Bowdoin                14- 4      10     5    ++     4.96
   518 N Trinity (CT)            6- 8      -2     0          -1.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 N Salisbury               7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.80
   413 A Buffalo State           8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   323 A Ithaca                  9- 8       1     3    -     -2.74
   409 A Brockport              12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Franklin & Marshall    15- 9       6     1    ++     4.30
   512 H Bowdoin                14- 4      10     5    ++     4.96
   503 H Brockport              16- 6      10     7    +      2.34
   504 H Geneseo                12- 5       7     4    +      2.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.64 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.64 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.72 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   18.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 21- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   18.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.7
/