Conf = Ivy League Region = Northeast State = RI Nickname = Bears Coach = Keely McDonaldGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.8481216 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 A George Mason Colonial ( 5-11, 83.3) 15-10 302 H Columbia Ivy League ( 3-12, 84.2) 11-10 2o 303 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 4-13, 76.6) 10- 4 309 A Princeton Ivy League (10- 7, 92.5) 11-18 312 H Holy Cross Patriot Leagu ( 9-10, 84.8) 13- 4 315 H Quinnipiac Northeast ( 7- 9, 81.6) 16- 7 322 H Southern California MPSF ( 8-10, 86.7) 9- 8 2o 326 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 4- 9, 80.3) 14- 3 330 A Dartmouth Ivy League (11- 8, 90.4) 7- 8 406 H Harvard Ivy League ( 3-11, 87.5) 15- 9 407 H Bryant Northeast (10- 8, 84.0) 12- 9 412 A Cornell Ivy League (10- 6, 91.4) 7- 9 414 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (12- 8, 91.3) 12-15 420 H Penn Ivy League (11- 6, 91.3) 7-10 o 427 H Yale Ivy League ( 8- 7, 87.2) 8-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A George Mason 15-10 5 3 1.62 302 H Columbia 11-10 2o 1 4 - -3.83 303 H Manhattan 10- 4 6 12 -- -4.00 309 A Princeton 11-18 -7 -5 -1.14 312 H Holy Cross 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.73 315 H Quinnipiac 16- 7 9 7 1.58 322 H Southern California 9- 8 2o 1 2 -1.35 326 H St. Mary's (CA) 14- 3 11 8 1.29 330 A Dartmouth 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.70 406 H Harvard 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.47 407 H Bryant 12- 9 3 5 - -2.00 412 A Cornell 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.78 414 H Boston College 12-15 -3 -2 -0.77 420 H Penn 7-10 o -3 -2 -0.77 427 H Yale 8-10 -2 1 - -3.81UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Manhattan 10- 4 6 12 -- -4.00 302 H Columbia 11-10 2o 1 4 - -3.83 407 H Bryant 12- 9 3 5 - -2.00 427 H Yale 8-10 -2 1 - -3.81OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Holy Cross 13- 4 9 4 ++ 4.73 406 H Harvard 15- 9 6 1 ++ 4.47 330 A Dartmouth 7- 8 -1 -3 + 2.70 412 A Cornell 7- 9 -2 -4 + 2.78/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.85 Local Power Rank........... 43 Local SOS Rating......... 69.35 Local SOS Rank............. 55 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 48 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7