Conf = NEWMAC Region = New England State = MA Nickname = Beavers Coach = Michelle SmithGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.8401413 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 306 H Bates NESCAC ( 7- 8, 80.9) 10- 9 309 A Trinity (CT) NESCAC (21- 1, 88.9) 6-17 315 A Tufts NESCAC ( 7- 8, 82.4) 10-11 o 318 A Catholic (DC) Landmark ( 8-10, 77.6) 14-15 o 320 A Mary Washington Capital (11- 7, 79.0) 18-19 o 323 A Wellesley NEWMAC ( 7- 7, 71.0) 15- 6 326 A Roger Williams Comm. Coast ( 6-11, 71.1) 17- 9 330 H Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 5-10, 77.9) 14- 9 406 A Springfield NEWMAC (11- 8, 77.9) 8- 9 409 H MIT NEWMAC ( 6-11, 69.3) 20- 3 413 H Smith NEWMAC ( 3-13, 64.6) 20-13 416 A Wheaton NEWMAC (11- 7, 75.1) 12-15 420 H Mount Holyoke NEWMAC (13- 4, 76.3) 7- 9 421 H Endicott Comm. Coast (13- 8, 79.8) 13- 8 424 H MIT NEWMAC ( 6-11, 69.3) 20- 7 427 A Wheaton NEWMAC (11- 7, 75.1) 11- 8 428 N Springfield NEWMAC (11- 8, 77.9) 2- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 H Bates 10- 9 1 0 1.70 309 A Trinity (CT) 6-17 -11 -11 0.00 315 A Tufts 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.99 318 A Catholic (DC) 14-15 o -1 0 -0.83 320 A Mary Washington 18-19 o -1 -1 0.58 323 A Wellesley 15- 6 9 6 + 2.58 326 A Roger Williams 17- 9 8 6 1.68 330 H Wesleyan (CT) 14- 9 5 2 + 2.65 406 A Springfield 8- 9 -1 0 -0.55 409 H MIT 20- 3 17 10 0.00 413 H Smith 20-13 7 15 - -3.00 416 A Wheaton 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.33 420 H Mount Holyoke 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.91 421 H Endicott 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.62 424 H MIT 20- 7 13 10 0.00 427 A Wheaton 11- 8 3 2 0.67 428 N Springfield 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.94UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A Wheaton 12-15 -3 2 -- -5.33 420 H Mount Holyoke 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.91 428 N Springfield 2- 7 -5 0 -- -5.94 413 H Smith 20-13 7 15 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 H Endicott 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.62 315 A Tufts 10-11 o -1 -4 + 3.99 323 A Wellesley 15- 6 9 6 + 2.58 330 H Wesleyan (CT) 14- 9 5 2 + 2.65/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.84 Local Power Rank........... 35 Local SOS Rating......... 51.12 Local SOS Rank............. 47 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 83 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 24 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 112 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7