Adams State                   3 -10


 
   Conf = WILA                       Region = South        State = CO
   Nickname = Grizzlies              Coach  = Mariana DiGiovanni      



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   74.1108780    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H Fort Lewis             WILA          ( 7- 7, 69.2)     4-10   
 304 N Lake Erie              Great Lakes   (13- 5, 69.4)    11-18   
 310 H McKendree              WILA          ( 1-14, 59.8)    11-10   
 313 A Lindenwood             WILA          (15- 2, 74.0)     4-19   
 314 N Findlay                Great Lakes   ( 6-12, 62.3)    17-14   
 316 A McKendree              WILA          ( 1-14, 59.8)    15-12   
 324 H Regis (CO)             WILA          (10- 5, 72.5)     5-21   
 402 H Lindenwood             WILA          (15- 2, 74.0)    10-21   
 406 A Colorado Mesa          WILA          ( 4-11, 69.0)     7-17   
 413 A Colorado College       SCAC          ( 7-10, 72.7)     4-15   
 420 A Fort Lewis             WILA          ( 7- 7, 69.2)     7-19   
 424 A Regis (CO)             WILA          (10- 5, 72.5)     5-13   
 427 H Colorado Mesa          WILA          ( 4-11, 69.0)    10-16   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Fort Lewis              4-10      -6    -4          -1.34
   304 N Lake Erie              11-18      -7    -5          -1.19
   310 H McKendree              11-10       1     4    -     -3.75
   313 A Lindenwood              4-19     -15   -11           0.00
   314 N Findlay                17-14       3     1           1.70
   316 A McKendree              15-12       3     2           0.12
   324 H Regis (CO)              5-21     -16    -8          -1.99
   402 H Lindenwood             10-21     -11    -9          -0.52
   406 A Colorado Mesa           7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.69
   413 A Colorado College        4-15     -11   -10          n/a  
   420 A Fort Lewis              7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.48
   424 A Regis (CO)              5-13      -8    -9           1.88
   427 H Colorado Mesa          10-16      -6    -4          -1.55


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Colorado College        4-15   
   413 A Colorado College        4-15   
   310 H McKendree              11-10       1     4    -     -3.75
   406 A Colorado Mesa           7-17     -10    -6    -     -3.69
   413 A Colorado College        4-15   
   420 A Fort Lewis              7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.48


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Colorado College        4-15   
   413 A Colorado College        4-15   
   413 A Colorado College        4-15   




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 63.58 Local Power Rank...........    66
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.02 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    72
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    69
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7


  
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