2012 NCAA Women's Division II/NAIA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 C.W. Post East Coast 17 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 24.00 2 West Chester PSAC 16 4 5 8 4 2 3 5 10 5.00 3 Adelphi Northeast 10 16 3 1 5 2 5 4 3 12 29.00 4 Le Moyne Northeast 10 16 3 4 9 3 6 5 4 15 15.00 5 Limestone Carolinas 17 2 7 33 5 4 14 2 20 5.00 6 Bentley Northeast 10 13 6 13 2 8 10 2 9 21 0.10 7 Rollins Independent 15 2 8 28 6 3 13 6 22 4.00 8 Stonehill Northeast 10 14 5 6 6 7 9 6 7 22 2.00 9 Lock Haven PSAC 11 6 9 10 12 8 7 12 27 1.00 10 Mercyhurst PSAC 13 7 14 14 15 11 9 14 34 0.10 11 Bloomsburg PSAC 12 7 12 17 13 12 8 15 35 0.10 12 New Haven Northeast 10 13 5 3 11 10 13 15 8 36 14.00 13 Dowling East Coast 13 4 10 18 9 7 20 10 37 1.00 14 Indiana (PA) PSAC 11 6 17 23 19 16 22 18 56 0.10 15 Pfeiffer Carolinas 9 8 21 31 36 20 10 30 60 0.10 16 Lindenwood WILA 15 2 15 56 11 15 35 11 61 0.10 17 Belmont Abbey Carolinas 9 7 31 34 31 19 17 26 62 0.10 18 Florida Southern Independent 12 4 18 49 16 18 29 16 63 0.10 19 Slippery Rock PSAC 12 5 23 30 17 17 27 19 63 0.10 20 Molloy East Coast 9 8 22 16 28 22 12 33 67 0.10 21 Merrimack Northeast 10 7 9 16 3 26 30 11 27 68 0.10 22 Saint Anselm Northeast 10 8 8 19 7 24 27 18 28 73 0.10 23 Lenoir-Rhyne Independent 12 4 28 62 20 25 34 17 76 0.10 24 Gannon PSAC 12 6 11 22 14 14 53 13 80 0.10 25 Holy Family CACC 14 4 34 51 18 21 41 20 82 0.10 26 Seton Hill East Coast 11 6 24 36 27 23 37 25 85 0.10 27 Queens Carolinas 7 10 30 27 48 26 23 40 89 0.10 28 Queens (NY) East Coast 10 7 20 25 33 29 26 34 89 0.10 29 Savannah Art & D NAIA NWLL 15 4 54 69 22 28 38 23 89 0.10 30 Regis (CO) WILA 9 8 25 37 23 24 48 21 93 0.10 31 Saint Leo Independent 5 9 53 41 46 35 16 44 95 0.10 32 S. New Hampshire Northeast 10 5 10 26 4 39 39 19 41 99 0.10 33 Georgian Court CACC 12 7 41 45 34 31 36 35 102 0.10 34 Mercy East Coast 7 8 27 24 40 36 30 43 109 0.10 35 Shippensburg PSAC 8 9 29 39 42 38 31 42 111 0.10 36 Lake Erie East Coast 7 9 46 40 43 44 25 45 114 0.10 37 East Stroudsburg PSAC 4 12 39 15 55 42 21 55 118 0.10 38 Millersville PSAC 6 11 35 26 56 43 28 53 124 0.10 39 Indiana Tech NAIA NWLL 14 5 52 68 32 32 62 32 126 0.10 40 Edinboro PSAC 7 10 38 38 47 50 33 47 130 0.10 41 Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 6 10 43 19 35 41 52 38 131 0.10 42 Assumption Northeast 10 5 11 32 12 50 48 32 54 134 0.10 43 Grand Valley Sta Independent 10 7 42 52 41 40 55 39 134 0.10 44 Aquinas NAIA NWLL 10 6 63 78 29 33 75 29 137 0.10 45 Shorter NAIA NWLL 13 7 64 73 38 37 65 37 139 0.10 46 Tennessee Wesley NAIA NWLL 10 7 62 74 30 34 74 31 139 0.10 47 Notre Dame (OH) Independent 6 10 49 48 44 45 50 46 141 0.10 48 Shepherd Independent 11 4 36 65 25 46 77 24 147 0.10 49 American Interna Northeast 10 3 13 47 13 64 57 24 67 148 0.10 50 Converse Carolinas 5 10 51 55 60 59 43 52 154 0.10 51 Reinhardt NAIA NWLL 8 9 66 77 49 47 60 49 156 0.10 52 Wilmington CACC 9 8 50 64 52 58 49 50 157 0.10 53 Fort Lewis WILA 7 8 33 63 37 49 73 36 158 0.10 54 Dominican CACC 6 9 48 60 57 55 46 58 159 0.10 55 Erskine Carolinas 5 10 60 58 65 56 44 60 160 0.10 56 Saint Michael's Northeast 10 4 12 37 20 51 51 54 57 162 0.10 57 Kutztown PSAC 4 13 44 29 68 54 42 69 165 0.10 58 Philadelphia CACC 8 10 45 50 58 52 51 62 165 0.10 59 St. Thomas Aquin East Coast 7 8 40 32 45 53 68 48 169 0.10 60 Tiffin Independent 3 14 56 44 77 61 39 77 177 0.10 61 Bridgeport East Coast 4 9 55 35 54 63 59 56 178 0.10 62 Roberts Wesleyan Independent 5 8 61 43 21 78 78 22 178 0.10 63 Lees-McRae Carolinas 1 11 67 46 71 65 47 68 180 0.10 64 Catawba Independent 2 12 70 47 73 64 45 72 181 0.10 65 West Virginia We Independent 2 12 69 61 53 73 61 51 185 0.10 66 Southern Connect Northeast 10 1 15 57 21 74 72 40 74 186 0.10 67 Davenport NAIA NWLL 10 9 74 70 62 60 64 63 187 0.10 68 Mo. Baptist NAIA NWLL 5 11 75 72 69 62 56 70 188 0.10 69 Colorado Mesa WILA 3 10 59 53 59 67 67 59 193 0.10 70 Newberry Independent 2 10 73 66 70 68 58 71 197 0.10 71 Midland NAIA NWLL 3 9 76 76 61 66 72 61 199 0.10 72 Chestnut Hill CACC 3 13 58 54 76 69 57 76 202 0.10 73 Adams State WILA 1 10 65 42 63 74 66 64 204 0.10 74 Wheeling Jesuit Independent 2 10 71 59 67 70 69 65 204 0.10 75 Robert Morris (I NAIA NWLL 3 10 77 75 66 71 71 66 208 0.10 76 Urbana Independent 2 13 72 67 75 76 63 75 214 0.10 77 Siena Heights NAIA NWLL 0 13 78 71 72 75 70 73 218 0.10 78 Post CACC 1 14 68 57 78 77 76 78 231 0.10