Conf = Liberty League Region = New York State = NY Nickname = Herons Coach = Pat GenoveseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.5051575 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 310 H Nazareth Empire Eight ( 6- 9, 72.9) 14- 3 319 N Williams NESCAC ( 6- 9, 82.3) 9-18 322 N Amherst NESCAC (13- 5, 86.8) 7-12 327 A St. John Fisher Empire Eight (15- 5, 81.7) 9-14 330 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 5-10, 73.3) 17- 5 331 H Bard Liberty Leagu ( 5-11, 62.6) 20- 2 405 H Cortland SUNYAC (20- 2, 88.5) 6-20 407 H Union Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 78.4) 11-10 410 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7-10, 84.3) 7- 9 o 413 A Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 75.6) 13- 9 414 A Rensselaer Liberty Leagu (16- 2, 79.3) 9-19 417 A Ithaca Empire Eight (13- 4, 83.0) 11-12 420 H Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 74.0) 18-12 421 H St. Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 78.0) 13- 8 427 A RIT Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 77.5) 9-15 428 A Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 2-13, 67.9) 17- 6 504 N RIT Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 77.5) 14-10 505 A Rensselaer Liberty Leagu (16- 2, 79.3) 7-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Nazareth 14- 3 11 6 + 3.73 319 N Williams 9-18 -9 -3 -- -5.24 322 N Amherst 7-12 -5 -8 + 3.32 327 A St. John Fisher 9-14 -5 -3 -1.17 330 H Vassar 17- 5 12 5 ++ 4.06 331 H Bard 20- 2 18 16 0.00 405 H Cortland 6-20 -14 -9 -0.72 407 H Union 11-10 1 0 0.18 410 H Hamilton 7- 9 o -2 -5 + 3.10 413 A Skidmore 13- 9 4 2 1.82 414 A Rensselaer 9-19 -10 -1 --- -8.51 417 A Ithaca 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.23 420 H Clarkson 18-12 6 5 0.76 421 H St. Lawrence 13- 8 5 1 + 3.76 427 A RIT 9-15 -6 0 --- -6.30 428 A Rochester 17- 6 11 9 0.05 504 N RIT 14-10 4 0 + 3.01 505 A Rensselaer 7-16 -9 -1 --- -7.51UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 414 A Rensselaer 9-19 -10 -1 --- -8.51 427 A RIT 9-15 -6 0 --- -6.30 505 A Rensselaer 7-16 -9 -1 --- -7.51 319 N Williams 9-18 -9 -3 -- -5.24OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Vassar 17- 5 12 5 ++ 4.06 417 A Ithaca 11-12 -1 -5 ++ 4.23 310 H Nazareth 14- 3 11 6 + 3.73 322 N Amherst 7-12 -5 -8 + 3.32 410 H Hamilton 7- 9 o -2 -5 + 3.10 421 H St. Lawrence 13- 8 5 1 + 3.76 504 N RIT 14-10 4 0 + 3.01/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 78.51 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 54.25 Local SOS Rank............. 23 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 68 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 210 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 93 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0