Conf = Liberty League             Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Pat Genovese            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5051575    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 6- 9, 72.9)    14- 3   
 319 N Williams               NESCAC        ( 6- 9, 82.3)     9-18   
 322 N Amherst                NESCAC        (13- 5, 86.8)     7-12   
 327 A St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (15- 5, 81.7)     9-14   
 330 H Vassar                 Liberty Leagu ( 5-10, 73.3)    17- 5   
 331 H Bard                   Liberty Leagu ( 5-11, 62.6)    20- 2   
 405 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (20- 2, 88.5)     6-20   
 407 H Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 78.4)    11-10   
 410 H Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 7-10, 84.3)     7- 9  o
 413 A Skidmore               Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 75.6)    13- 9   
 414 A Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu (16- 2, 79.3)     9-19   
 417 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (13- 4, 83.0)    11-12   
 420 H Clarkson               Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 74.0)    18-12   
 421 H St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 78.0)    13- 8   
 427 A RIT                    Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 77.5)     9-15   
 428 A Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 2-13, 67.9)    17- 6   
 504 N RIT                    Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 77.5)    14-10   
 505 A Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu (16- 2, 79.3)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Nazareth               14- 3      11     6    +      3.73
   319 N Williams                9-18      -9    -3    --    -5.24
   322 N Amherst                 7-12      -5    -8    +      3.32
   327 A St. John Fisher         9-14      -5    -3          -1.17
   330 H Vassar                 17- 5      12     5    ++     4.06
   331 H Bard                   20- 2      18    16           0.00
   405 H Cortland                6-20     -14    -9          -0.72
   407 H Union                  11-10       1     0           0.18
   410 H Hamilton                7- 9  o   -2    -5    +      3.10
   413 A Skidmore               13- 9       4     2           1.82
   414 A Rensselaer              9-19     -10    -1    ---   -8.51
   417 A Ithaca                 11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.23
   420 H Clarkson               18-12       6     5           0.76
   421 H St. Lawrence           13- 8       5     1    +      3.76
   427 A RIT                     9-15      -6     0    ---   -6.30
   428 A Rochester              17- 6      11     9           0.05
   504 N RIT                    14-10       4     0    +      3.01
   505 A Rensselaer              7-16      -9    -1    ---   -7.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Rensselaer              9-19     -10    -1    ---   -8.51
   427 A RIT                     9-15      -6     0    ---   -6.30
   505 A Rensselaer              7-16      -9    -1    ---   -7.51
   319 N Williams                9-18      -9    -3    --    -5.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Vassar                 17- 5      12     5    ++     4.06
   417 A Ithaca                 11-12      -1    -5    ++     4.23
   310 H Nazareth               14- 3      11     6    +      3.73
   322 N Amherst                 7-12      -5    -8    +      3.32
   410 H Hamilton                7- 9  o   -2    -5    +      3.10
   421 H St. Lawrence           13- 8       5     1    +      3.76
   504 N RIT                    14-10       4     0    +      3.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.51 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.25 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   210
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    93
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/