Conf = SCIAC                      Region = West         State = CA
   Nickname = Poets                  Coach  = Staci Williams          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.6356659    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC         ( 6-10, 73.6)    11-14   
 218 A Pomona-Pitzer          SCIAC         ( 7-10, 70.5)    18-26   
 225 H Redlands               SCIAC         (16- 2, 77.8)    15-21   
 303 A Occidental             SCIAC         (13- 4, 76.1)    11-20   
 306 H Fort Lewis             WILA          ( 7- 8, 70.8)    19-20  o
 312 H Puget Sound            Independent   ( 3-11, 64.3)    22-11   
 313 H Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 7- 8, 71.7)    12-16   
 318 H North Central          Midwest       ( 6-10, 67.6)    14-12   
 321 H Sewanee                SCAC          (11- 6, 73.7)    14-18   
 327 A Puget Sound            Independent   ( 3-11, 64.3)    22-11   
 329 A Linfield               Independent   ( 1- 7, 59.1)    19-10   
 330 A Pacific (OR)           Independent   ( 8- 6, 68.3)     8-11   
 407 H Occidental             SCIAC         (13- 4, 76.1)     9-20   
 411 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC         ( 6-10, 73.6)    15-20   
 414 H Pomona-Pitzer          SCIAC         ( 7-10, 70.5)    16-10   
 422 A Redlands               SCIAC         (16- 2, 77.8)    15-14  o
 425 H Pomona-Pitzer          SCIAC         ( 7-10, 70.5)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 11-14      -3    -3           0.31
   218 A Pomona-Pitzer          18-26      -8    -1    ---   -6.41
   225 H Redlands               15-21      -6    -7           1.43
   303 A Occidental             11-20      -9    -7          -1.80
   306 H Fort Lewis             19-20  o   -1     0          n/a  
   312 H Puget Sound            22-11      11     6    +      3.95
   313 H Kenyon                 12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.66
   318 H North Central          14-12       2     2          -0.77
   321 H Sewanee                14-18      -4    -3          -0.64
   327 A Puget Sound            22-11      11     4    ++     5.33
   329 A Linfield               19-10       9     9          -0.85
   330 A Pacific (OR)            8-11      -3     0    -     -3.64
   407 H Occidental              9-20     -11    -5    --    -4.18
   411 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 15-20      -5    -4          -0.31
   414 H Pomona-Pitzer          16-10       6     0    +++    6.21
   422 A Redlands               15-14  o    1    -8    +++    9.81
   425 H Pomona-Pitzer           9-16      -7     0    ---   -6.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Pomona-Pitzer          18-26      -8    -1    ---   -6.41
   306 H Fort Lewis             19-20  o
   425 H Pomona-Pitzer           9-16      -7     0    ---   -6.79
   306 H Fort Lewis             19-20  o
   407 H Occidental              9-20     -11    -5    --    -4.18
   306 H Fort Lewis             19-20  o
   313 H Kenyon                 12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.66
   330 A Pacific (OR)            8-11      -3     0    -     -3.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Fort Lewis             19-20  o
   414 H Pomona-Pitzer          16-10       6     0    +++    6.21
   422 A Redlands               15-14  o    1    -8    +++    9.81
   306 H Fort Lewis             19-20  o
   327 A Puget Sound            22-11      11     4    ++     5.33
   306 H Fort Lewis             19-20  o
   312 H Puget Sound            22-11      11     6    +      3.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.64 Local Power Rank...........   109
 Local SOS Rating......... 42.80 Local SOS Rank.............    95
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............   135
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   207
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   169
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/