Conf = Little East Region = New England State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jennifer OuelletteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.0244904 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 303 A St. Joseph's (NY) Skyline ( 9- 9, 68.9) 11- 5 306 A Kean Skyline ( 9- 9, 70.5) 16-11 310 H Castleton State NEWLA (12- 7, 71.9) 17- 9 314 H Farmingdale Skyline (13- 2, 77.4) 7-10 318 N Western New England Comm. Coast ( 6-12, 70.0) 14-12 320 N Tufts NESCAC ( 9- 6, 84.9) 3-17 329 A Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 5-10, 78.3) 11-15 331 A Mass.-Dartmouth Little East ( 5-12, 60.1) 18- 5 407 H Rhode Island College Little East ( 4-11, 65.7) 20- 9 409 H Framingham State NEWLA (10- 8, 64.7) 8- 5 411 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 5-10, 73.3) 15-13 o 414 A Southern Maine Little East ( 7-11, 70.0) 9-16 417 A Worcester State NEWLA ( 3-12, 57.7) 19- 7 419 H Westfield State NEWLA ( 9- 8, 68.6) 20-10 421 H Plymouth State Little East (13- 2, 76.9) 11-12 425 H Eastern Connecticut Little East (12- 7, 72.8) 13-14 2o 428 A Keene State Little East (14- 4, 74.9) 5-13 501 A Southern Maine Little East ( 7-11, 70.0) 12-10 504 A Plymouth State Little East (13- 2, 76.9) 10- 9 506 A Keene State Little East (14- 4, 74.9) 7-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 A St. Joseph's (NY) 11- 5 6 3 + 2.52 306 A Kean 16-11 5 1 + 3.13 310 H Castleton State 17- 9 8 1 +++ 6.23 314 H Farmingdale 7-10 -3 -3 0.64 318 N Western New England 14-12 2 3 -1.01 320 N Tufts 3-17 -14 -11 0.00 329 A Wesleyan (CT) 11-15 -4 -5 1.99 331 A Mass.-Dartmouth 18- 5 13 12 0.00 407 H Rhode Island College 20- 9 11 8 1.95 409 H Framingham State 8- 5 3 9 --- -6.04 411 H Vassar 15-13 o 2 0 1.54 414 A Southern Maine 9-16 -7 2 --- -9.37 417 A Worcester State 19- 7 12 14 0.00 419 H Westfield State 20-10 10 5 ++ 4.84 421 H Plymouth State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.16 425 H Eastern Connecticut 13-14 2o -1 0 -1.91 428 A Keene State 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.46 501 A Southern Maine 12-10 2 2 -0.37 504 A Plymouth State 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.54 506 A Keene State 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.46UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Framingham State 8- 5 3 9 --- -6.04 414 A Southern Maine 9-16 -7 2 --- -9.37 428 A Keene State 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.46 506 A Keene State 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.46OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Castleton State 17- 9 8 1 +++ 6.23 419 H Westfield State 20-10 10 5 ++ 4.84 504 A Plymouth State 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 5.54 303 A St. Joseph's (NY) 11- 5 6 3 + 2.52 306 A Kean 16-11 5 1 + 3.13 421 H Plymouth State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 73.02 Local Power Rank........... 79 Local SOS Rating......... 43.69 Local SOS Rank............. 86 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 67 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 202 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 95 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0