Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = West/Midwest State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7794495    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 95.4)     7- 5   
 226 A North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 98.0)     9-18   
 303 A Stanford               MPSF          ( 8-10, 87.4)    15- 9   
 307 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 93.6)    13-12   
 311 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti (10- 9, 87.5)    10- 8   
 314 H Louisville             Big East      ( 3-12, 87.1)    14-12   
 318 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (12- 7, 93.4)    11-12  o
 323 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 99.6)     6-13   
 328 A New Hampshire          America East  ( 5-11, 86.4)    11-12   
 401 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 9, 93.3)    14-11   
 404 H Presbyterian           NLC           ( 3-16, 73.3)    19- 5   
 408 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 93.8)    11-13   
 414 A Florida                Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 99.9)     5-17   
 418 A Notre Dame             Big East      (13- 5, 93.8)    11-12   
 422 H Jacksonville           NLC           (15- 4, 91.3)    14- 9   
 503 A Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 93.8)     9-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H Duke                    7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.53
   226 A North Carolina          9-18      -9    -7          -1.68
   303 A Stanford               15- 9       6     3    +      2.71
   307 H Boston College         13-12       1     0           1.69
   311 A Canisius               10- 8       2     3          -1.20
   314 H Louisville             14-12       2     5    -     -3.84
   318 H Penn State             11-12  o   -1     0          -0.45
   323 A Northwestern            6-13      -7    -8           1.92
   328 A New Hampshire          11-12      -1     4    --    -5.27
   401 H Johns Hopkins          14-11       3     0    +      3.43
   404 H Presbyterian           19- 5      14    19           0.00
   408 H Ohio State             11-13      -2     0          -1.10
   414 A Florida                 5-17     -12    -9          -0.77
   418 A Notre Dame             11-12      -1    -3    +      2.13
   422 H Jacksonville           14- 9       5     1    +      3.40
   503 A Ohio State              9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.11

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A New Hampshire          11-12      -1     4    --    -5.27
   314 H Louisville             14-12       2     5    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H Duke                    7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.53
   303 A Stanford               15- 9       6     3    +      2.71
   401 H Johns Hopkins          14-11       3     0    +      3.43
   418 A Notre Dame             11-12      -1    -3    +      2.13
   422 H Jacksonville           14- 9       5     1    +      3.40
   503 A Ohio State              9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.78 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.26 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    86
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    23
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/