Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.9971466    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 H Florida                Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 99.9)    11- 9   
 215 A Liberty                NLC           ( 3-14, 74.9)    19- 3   
 219 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 8, 90.5)    17- 6   
 224 H Albany                 America East  (12- 6, 89.5)    16- 7   
 226 H Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 91.8)    18- 9   
 303 H Penn                   Ivy League    ( 9- 8, 93.1)    15- 6   
 306 H Lehigh                 Patriot Leagu ( 7- 9, 84.5)    16- 8   
 310 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 94.1)    14- 9   
 317 A Georgetown             Big East      ( 9- 8, 93.6)     8- 9   
 318 A Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 4-13, 86.4)    14- 3   
 324 A Boston College         Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 93.6)     9- 8   
 330 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 95.4)     4- 2   
 401 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (10- 7, 88.0)    15- 4   
 407 H Maryland               Atlantic Coas (19- 4, 99.4)    14-11   
 413 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 99.6)     7- 8   
 421 N Virginia               Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 94.1)    14- 6   
 423 N Maryland               Atlantic Coas (19- 4, 99.4)    10-14   
 512 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 91.9)    14- 7   
 519 A Syracuse               Big East      (19- 4, 98.3)    16-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Florida                11- 9       2     0    +      2.80
   215 A Liberty                19- 3      16    21           0.00
   219 A Richmond               17- 6      11     6    +      3.64
   224 H Albany                 16- 7       9     9          -0.63
   226 H Vanderbilt             18- 9       9     7           1.68
   303 H Penn                   15- 6       9     6    +      2.98
   306 H Lehigh                 16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00
   310 A Virginia               14- 9       5     2    +      2.20
   317 A Georgetown              8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.27
   318 A Old Dominion           14- 3      11    10           0.00
   324 A Boston College          9- 8       1     3    -     -2.31
   330 H Duke                    4- 2       2     3          -1.69
   401 H Virginia Tech          15- 4      11    11           0.00
   407 H Maryland               14-11       3     0    +      3.30
   413 A Northwestern            7- 8      -1    -2           1.70
   421 N Virginia               14- 6       8     3    ++     4.09
   423 N Maryland               10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.59
   512 H Navy                   14- 7       7     7          -0.24
   519 A Syracuse               16-17      -1    -1           0.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Georgetown              8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.27
   306 H Lehigh                 16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00
   324 A Boston College          9- 8       1     3    -     -2.31
   423 N Maryland               10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 N Virginia               14- 6       8     3    ++     4.09
   211 H Florida                11- 9       2     0    +      2.80
   219 A Richmond               17- 6      11     6    +      3.64
   303 H Penn                   15- 6       9     6    +      2.98
   310 A Virginia               14- 9       5     2    +      2.20
   407 H Maryland               14-11       3     0    +      3.30
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.00 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.01 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/