Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.9971466 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Florida Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 99.9) 11- 9 215 A Liberty NLC ( 3-14, 74.9) 19- 3 219 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 8, 90.5) 17- 6 224 H Albany America East (12- 6, 89.5) 16- 7 226 H Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 91.8) 18- 9 303 H Penn Ivy League ( 9- 8, 93.1) 15- 6 306 H Lehigh Patriot Leagu ( 7- 9, 84.5) 16- 8 310 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 94.1) 14- 9 317 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 93.6) 8- 9 318 A Old Dominion Colonial ( 4-13, 86.4) 14- 3 324 A Boston College Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 93.6) 9- 8 330 H Duke Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 95.4) 4- 2 401 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (10- 7, 88.0) 15- 4 407 H Maryland Atlantic Coas (19- 4, 99.4) 14-11 413 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 99.6) 7- 8 421 N Virginia Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 94.1) 14- 6 423 N Maryland Atlantic Coas (19- 4, 99.4) 10-14 512 H Navy Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 91.9) 14- 7 519 A Syracuse Big East (19- 4, 98.3) 16-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Florida 11- 9 2 0 + 2.80 215 A Liberty 19- 3 16 21 0.00 219 A Richmond 17- 6 11 6 + 3.64 224 H Albany 16- 7 9 9 -0.63 226 H Vanderbilt 18- 9 9 7 1.68 303 H Penn 15- 6 9 6 + 2.98 306 H Lehigh 16- 8 8 14 - -2.00 310 A Virginia 14- 9 5 2 + 2.20 317 A Georgetown 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.27 318 A Old Dominion 14- 3 11 10 0.00 324 A Boston College 9- 8 1 3 - -2.31 330 H Duke 4- 2 2 3 -1.69 401 H Virginia Tech 15- 4 11 11 0.00 407 H Maryland 14-11 3 0 + 3.30 413 A Northwestern 7- 8 -1 -2 1.70 421 N Virginia 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.09 423 N Maryland 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.59 512 H Navy 14- 7 7 7 -0.24 519 A Syracuse 16-17 -1 -1 0.46UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Georgetown 8- 9 -1 3 -- -4.27 306 H Lehigh 16- 8 8 14 - -2.00 324 A Boston College 9- 8 1 3 - -2.31 423 N Maryland 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 N Virginia 14- 6 8 3 ++ 4.09 211 H Florida 11- 9 2 0 + 2.80 219 A Richmond 17- 6 11 6 + 3.64 303 H Penn 15- 6 9 6 + 2.98 310 A Virginia 14- 9 5 2 + 2.20 407 H Maryland 14-11 3 0 + 3.30/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.00 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 83.01 Local SOS Rank............. 6 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 10.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.150.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7