Conf = Big East Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Orange Coach = Gary GaitGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.3489151 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 93.6) 23-12 226 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 94.1) 7- 9 229 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 99.6) 9-11 o 303 A Florida Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 99.9) 12-11 2o 310 A Maryland Atlantic Coas (19- 4, 99.4) 10- 9 313 H Towson Colonial (16- 4, 91.3) 18- 7 324 A Connecticut Big East (10- 6, 87.5) 20- 8 331 N Harvard Ivy League ( 9- 7, 91.5) 10- 6 405 A Notre Dame Big East (13- 5, 93.8) 16-10 407 H Rutgers Big East ( 9- 7, 90.2) 15-10 409 H Dartmouth Ivy League (12- 5, 91.7) 22- 4 414 H Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 93.6) 22-11 417 A Cornell Ivy League (11- 5, 94.0) 16- 9 420 A Louisville Big East ( 3-12, 87.1) 16- 9 422 A Cincinnati Big East ( 3-13, 78.2) 22- 5 427 H Loyola Big East (14- 6, 93.7) 13-12 429 H Villanova Big East ( 4-12, 82.6) 18- 3 503 H Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 93.6) 7- 6 505 H Loyola Big East (14- 6, 93.7) 7-13 513 H Dartmouth Ivy League (12- 5, 91.7) 15- 5 519 H North Carolina Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 98.0) 17-16 525 N Florida Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 99.9) 14-13 2o 527 N Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 99.6) 6- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Boston College 23-12 11 5 ++ 4.12 226 A Virginia 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.15 229 H Northwestern 9-11 o -2 0 -1.86 303 A Florida 12-11 2o 1 -2 + 3.66 310 A Maryland 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.16 313 H Towson 18- 7 11 8 1.80 324 A Connecticut 20- 8 12 9 0.26 331 N Harvard 10- 6 4 6 - -2.87 405 A Notre Dame 16-10 6 3 + 2.56 407 H Rutgers 15-10 5 9 -- -4.21 409 H Dartmouth 22- 4 18 7 + 2.26 414 H Georgetown 22-11 11 5 ++ 4.17 417 A Cornell 16- 9 7 3 + 3.80 420 A Louisville 16- 9 7 10 - -3.00 422 A Cincinnati 22- 5 17 19 0.00 427 H Loyola 13-12 1 5 -- -4.72 429 H Villanova 18- 3 15 16 0.00 503 H Georgetown 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.83 505 H Loyola 7-13 -6 5 --- -11.72 513 H Dartmouth 15- 5 10 7 + 2.26 519 H North Carolina 17-16 1 1 -0.46 525 N Florida 14-13 2o 1 -1 + 2.55 527 N Northwestern 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.76UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Loyola 7-13 -6 5 --- -11.72 226 A Virginia 7- 9 -2 3 -- -5.15 407 H Rutgers 15-10 5 9 -- -4.21 427 H Loyola 13-12 1 5 -- -4.72 503 H Georgetown 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.83 331 N Harvard 10- 6 4 6 - -2.87 420 A Louisville 16- 9 7 10 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 H Boston College 23-12 11 5 ++ 4.12 414 H Georgetown 22-11 11 5 ++ 4.17 303 A Florida 12-11 2o 1 -2 + 3.66 310 A Maryland 10- 9 1 -2 + 3.16 405 A Notre Dame 16-10 6 3 + 2.56 409 H Dartmouth 22- 4 18 7 + 2.26 417 A Cornell 16- 9 7 3 + 3.80 513 H Dartmouth 15- 5 10 7 + 2.26 525 N Florida 14-13 2o 1 -1 + 2.55/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.35 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 83.87 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.69 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 14.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating.210.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 2 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 19- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0