Conf = Northeast Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Red Flash Coach = Gregg GebhardGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.3251114 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 A George Mason Colonial ( 3-13, 81.7) 9-19 226 A Binghamton America East ( 3-13, 82.5) 16-12 307 A Davidson NLC ( 8-10, 81.5) 9-13 311 H Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 83.1) 3-12 313 H Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 78.8) 8-21 317 H Liberty NLC ( 3-14, 74.9) 9-13 320 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 (12- 6, 89.0) 5-18 323 A Monmouth Northeast ( 9-11, 82.0) 6-11 325 A Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8-11, 79.2) 10-13 330 H San Diego State MPSF ( 5-10, 79.0) 16-15 o 331 A Robert Morris Northeast ( 7-10, 80.4) 13-18 405 H Quinnipiac Northeast ( 8- 8, 81.3) 4-14 407 H Sacred Heart Northeast ( 8- 9, 80.0) 11-14 413 A Bryant Northeast ( 6-10, 80.0) 11-13 415 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 7- 9, 79.9) 10-16 420 H Long Island U. Northeast ( 1-15, 71.3) 21-15 422 H Wagner Northeast ( 7-10, 77.1) 9-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A George Mason 9-19 -10 -7 - -2.54 226 A Binghamton 16-12 4 -8 +++ 12.28 307 A Davidson 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.29 311 H Saint Joseph's 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.38 313 H Bucknell 8-21 -13 -2 --- -7.59 317 H Liberty 9-13 -4 1 -- -5.52 320 H Duquesne 5-18 -13 -12 0.00 323 A Monmouth 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.75 325 A Mount Saint Mary's 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.01 330 H San Diego State 16-15 o 1 -2 + 3.54 331 A Robert Morris 13-18 -5 -6 1.23 405 H Quinnipiac 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.17 407 H Sacred Heart 11-14 -3 -3 0.54 413 A Bryant 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.79 415 A Central Connecticut 10-16 -6 -5 -0.34 420 H Long Island U. 21-15 6 5 0.85 422 H Wagner 9-13 -4 0 - -3.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Bucknell 8-21 -13 -2 --- -7.59 317 H Liberty 9-13 -4 1 -- -5.52 405 H Quinnipiac 4-14 -10 -4 -- -5.17 211 A George Mason 9-19 -10 -7 - -2.54 311 H Saint Joseph's 3-12 -9 -6 - -2.38 422 H Wagner 9-13 -4 0 - -3.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 A Binghamton 16-12 4 -8 +++ 12.28 307 A Davidson 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.29 323 A Monmouth 6-11 -5 -7 + 2.75 325 A Mount Saint Mary's 10-13 -3 -5 + 2.01 330 H San Diego State 16-15 o 1 -2 + 3.54 413 A Bryant 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.79/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.33 Local Power Rank........... 87 Local SOS Rating......... 57.63 Local SOS Rank............. 90 Local RPI Rating......... 0.31 Local RPI Rank............. 91 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 74 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 90 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 3-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3