Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7157516    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 H Saint Leo              Independent   ( 5- 9, 67.1)    23- 7   
 218 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 9- 7, 70.9)    18- 6   
 219 A Catawba                Independent   ( 2-12, 56.8)    22- 2   
 225 A Limestone              Carolinas     (17- 2, 81.3)    11-10   
 302 H Mercyhurst             PSAC          (13- 7, 75.9)    16- 5   
 308 H Notre Dame (OH)        Independent   ( 6-10, 69.9)    23-10   
 312 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 9- 8, 73.6)    20- 9   
 315 H Lock Haven             PSAC          (11- 6, 79.8)    18-10   
 317 H Stonehill              Northeast 10  (14- 5, 81.5)    14-13 2o
 322 H Lenoir-Rhyne           Independent   (12- 4, 71.9)    21- 8   
 328 A Saint Leo              Independent   ( 5- 9, 67.1)    20- 2   
 404 H Converse               Carolinas     ( 5-10, 68.3)    20- 7   
 406 H Queens                 Carolinas     ( 7-10, 71.2)    21- 6   
 411 A Florida Southern       Independent   (12- 4, 74.8)    16-10   
 427 A Regis (CO)             WILA          ( 9- 8, 72.3)    18- 8   
 429 A Regis (CO)             WILA          ( 9- 8, 72.3)    13-14   
 517 N West Chester           PSAC          (16- 4, 82.3)    10-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Saint Leo              23- 7      16    14           0.00
   218 A Belmont Abbey          18- 6      12     8           1.24
   219 A Catawba                22- 2      20    22           0.00
   225 A Limestone              11-10       1    -1    +      2.63
   302 H Mercyhurst             16- 5      11     5    ++     4.14
   308 H Notre Dame (OH)        23-10      13    11           0.00
   312 H Pfeiffer               20- 9      11     8           1.85
   315 H Lock Haven             18-10       8     1    +++    6.02
   317 H Stonehill              14-13 2o    1     0           0.74
   322 H Lenoir-Rhyne           21- 8      13     9           0.18
   328 A Saint Leo              20- 2      18    12           0.00
   404 H Converse               20- 7      13    13           0.00
   406 H Queens                 21- 6      15    10           0.00
   411 A Florida Southern       16-10       6     4           1.16
   427 A Regis (CO)             18- 8      10     7    +      2.65
   429 A Regis (CO)             13-14      -1     7    ---   -8.35
   517 N West Chester           10-19      -9    -1    ---   -7.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Regis (CO)             13-14      -1     7    ---   -8.35
   517 N West Chester           10-19      -9    -1    ---   -7.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 H Lock Haven             18-10       8     1    +++    6.02
   302 H Mercyhurst             16- 5      11     5    ++     4.14
   225 A Limestone              11-10       1    -1    +      2.63
   427 A Regis (CO)             18- 8      10     7    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.72 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.80 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/