Conf = Northeast Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katy PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 80.4465256 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 205 H Howard NLC ( 0-14, 70.0) 18- 9 217 A Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 93.8) 2-16 229 A Canisius Metro Atlanti (10- 9, 87.5) 10-11 303 A Lehigh Patriot Leagu ( 7- 9, 84.5) 9-11 307 A Navy Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 91.9) 8-18 310 H High Point NLC (15- 4, 87.3) 9-18 314 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 (12- 6, 89.0) 6-12 317 H Davidson NLC ( 8-10, 81.5) 13-12 2o 323 A Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8-11, 79.2) 8-12 325 A Monmouth Northeast ( 9-11, 82.0) 9- 8 331 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 3-14, 75.3) 18-13 405 H Sacred Heart Northeast ( 8- 9, 80.0) 9-10 2o 407 H Quinnipiac Northeast ( 8- 8, 81.3) 5- 6 413 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 7- 9, 79.9) 9-14 415 A Bryant Northeast ( 6-10, 80.0) 9- 6 420 H Wagner Northeast ( 7-10, 77.1) 13-12 422 H Long Island U. Northeast ( 1-15, 71.3) 19-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 H Howard 18- 9 9 11 -1.00 217 A Ohio State 2-16 -14 -14 0.00 229 A Canisius 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.13 303 A Lehigh 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.18 307 A Navy 8-18 -10 -12 0.00 310 H High Point 9-18 -9 -5 - -3.21 314 A Duquesne 6-12 -6 -9 + 3.66 317 H Davidson 13-12 2o 1 0 0.96 323 A Mount Saint Mary's 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.12 325 A Monmouth 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.63 331 H Saint Francis 18-13 5 6 -1.23 405 H Sacred Heart 9-10 2o -1 1 - -2.58 407 H Quinnipiac 5- 6 -1 0 -1.29 413 A Central Connecticut 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.46 415 A Bryant 9- 6 3 0 + 3.67 420 H Wagner 13-12 1 4 - -3.44 422 H Long Island U. 19-11 8 10 - -2.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 A Mount Saint Mary's 8-12 -4 0 -- -4.12 413 A Central Connecticut 9-14 -5 0 -- -4.46 310 H High Point 9-18 -9 -5 - -3.21 405 H Sacred Heart 9-10 2o -1 1 - -2.58 420 H Wagner 13-12 1 4 - -3.44 422 H Long Island U. 19-11 8 10 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 229 A Canisius 10-11 -1 -8 +++ 7.13 303 A Lehigh 9-11 -2 -5 + 3.18 314 A Duquesne 6-12 -6 -9 + 3.66 325 A Monmouth 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.63 415 A Bryant 9- 6 3 0 + 3.67/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.45 Local Power Rank........... 72 Local SOS Rating......... 61.31 Local SOS Rank............. 81 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 65 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 71 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 59 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0