Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Monarchs               Coach  = Heather Holt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4060364    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 H Louisville             Big East      ( 3-12, 87.1)    14-12   
 303 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 7-10, 86.4)    10-16   
 307 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 8, 90.5)    12-19   
 310 A Oregon                 MPSF          (14- 5, 88.7)     9-10   
 314 A Navy                   Patriot Leagu (18- 3, 91.9)     5-19   
 317 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 83.1)    10- 4   
 318 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 98.0)     3-14   
 321 A Longwood               NLC           ( 4-13, 77.0)    21- 6   
 324 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (10- 7, 88.0)    12-13   
 328 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 94.1)    13-14   
 401 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-13, 88.0)    14-10   
 406 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-12, 86.2)     5- 9   
 408 H Towson                 Colonial      (16- 4, 91.3)     7- 9   
 413 A George Mason           Colonial      ( 3-13, 81.7)     7- 9   
 415 H James Madison          Colonial      (11- 7, 91.5)     8-12   
 420 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 5-12, 88.5)     8- 9   
 422 A Drexel                 Colonial      (11- 6, 88.9)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Louisville             14-12       2     0           1.54
   303 A American               10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.85
   307 H Richmond               12-19      -7    -3    -     -3.98
   310 A Oregon                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.45
   314 A Navy                    5-19     -14    -6    -     -3.44
   317 H Saint Joseph's         10- 4       6     4           1.54
   318 H North Carolina          3-14     -11   -10           0.00
   321 A Longwood               21- 6      15     8           1.67
   324 H Virginia Tech          12-13      -1     0          -0.47
   328 A Virginia               13-14      -1    -8    +++    7.79
   401 A William & Mary         14-10       4    -2    +++    6.69
   406 H Delaware                5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.31
   408 H Towson                  7- 9      -2    -3           1.74
   413 A George Mason            7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.62
   415 H James Madison           8-12      -4    -4           0.01
   420 A Hofstra                 8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.17
   422 A Drexel                  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A American               10-16      -6    -1    --    -4.85
   406 H Delaware                5- 9      -4     1    --    -5.31
   413 A George Mason            7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.62
   307 H Richmond               12-19      -7    -3    -     -3.98
   314 A Navy                    5-19     -14    -6    -     -3.44
   422 A Drexel                  4-10      -6    -3    -     -2.42

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Virginia               13-14      -1    -8    +++    7.79
   401 A William & Mary         14-10       4    -2    +++    6.69
   310 A Oregon                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.45
   420 A Hofstra                 8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.41 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.61 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    68
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    64
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/