Conf = Independent                Region = North        State = OH
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Torrey McGowan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.7431335    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 A Le Moyne               Northeast 10  (16- 3, 82.9)     1-17   
 305 A Saint Leo              Independent   ( 5- 9, 67.1)    18-10   
 308 A Rollins                Independent   (15- 2, 80.7)    10-23   
 310 A Florida Southern       Independent   (12- 4, 74.8)     7-21   
 317 A Monroe                               (16- 3, 80.9)    19-20   
 321 A Tiffin                 Independent   ( 3-14, 66.0)    14- 9   
 326 A Indiana (PA)           PSAC          (11- 6, 75.2)     2-24   
 328 H Seton Hill             East Coast    (11- 6, 73.0)    11-16   
 331 H Urbana                 Independent   ( 2-13, 56.4)    19- 8   
 403 A Niagara                Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 75.5)     9-16   
 410 H Davenport              NAIA NWLL     (10- 9, 55.6)    20- 4   
 414 A Grand Valley State     Independent   (10- 7, 70.6)    20-22  o
 418 H Tiffin                 Independent   ( 3-14, 66.0)    20-14   
 421 A Shepherd               Independent   (11- 4, 70.7)    18-19   
 424 A West Virginia Wesleyan Independent   ( 2-12, 56.9)    19- 6   
 427 H Grand Valley State     Independent   (10- 7, 70.6)    11-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Le Moyne                1-17     -16   -13           0.00
   305 A Saint Leo              18-10       8     1    +++    6.24
   308 A Rollins                10-23     -13   -11           0.00
   310 A Florida Southern        7-21     -14    -5    --    -4.06
   317 A Monroe                 19-20      -1   -11          n/a  
   321 A Tiffin                 14- 9       5     2    +      2.12
   326 A Indiana (PA)            2-24     -22    -6    -     -3.71
   328 H Seton Hill             11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.99
   331 H Urbana                 19- 8      11    14           0.00
   403 A Niagara                 9-16      -7    -6          n/a  
   410 H Davenport              20- 4      16    15           0.00
   414 A Grand Valley State     20-22  o   -2    -1          -0.31
   418 H Tiffin                 20-14       6     4           1.05
   421 A Shepherd               18-19      -1    -1           0.75
   424 A West Virginia Wesleyan 19- 6      13    11           0.00
   427 H Grand Valley State     11-14      -3     0    -     -3.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Monroe                 19-20   
   403 A Niagara                 9-16   
   310 A Florida Southern        7-21     -14    -5    --    -4.06
   317 A Monroe                 19-20   
   403 A Niagara                 9-16   
   317 A Monroe                 19-20   
   326 A Indiana (PA)            2-24     -22    -6    -     -3.71
   328 H Seton Hill             11-16      -5    -2    -     -2.99
   403 A Niagara                 9-16   
   427 H Grand Valley State     11-14      -3     0    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Saint Leo              18-10       8     1    +++    6.24
   317 A Monroe                 19-20   
   403 A Niagara                 9-16   
   317 A Monroe                 19-20   
   403 A Niagara                 9-16   
   317 A Monroe                 19-20   
   321 A Tiffin                 14- 9       5     2    +      2.12
   403 A Niagara                 9-16   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.94 Local Power Rank...........    49
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.24 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    45
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   16.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
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