Conf = Commonwealth Region = Metro State = PA Nickname = Falcons Coach = Heather GreerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.2011261 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 229 A McDaniel Centennial ( 6-11, 76.5) 16-10 303 H Fredonia SUNYAC (14- 5, 80.2) 17- 8 307 A Dickinson Centennial ( 7- 9, 77.5) 11-10 309 H Ursinus Centennial ( 9- 8, 77.2) 18- 5 313 N St. Mary's (MD) Capital ( 8- 9, 75.8) 16- 3 315 N Rowan Independent (10- 7, 78.3) 14-11 320 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial (13- 3, 85.1) 14-15 2o 324 A York Capital (14- 5, 82.4) 12- 6 328 H Catholic (DC) Landmark (16- 6, 83.8) 18-20 o 405 A Lebanon Valley Commonwealth ( 9- 8, 72.9) 16-11 410 H Elizabethtown Commonwealth (13- 6, 80.6) 13-10 414 H FDU-Florham Freedom (13- 6, 73.1) 18- 7 418 A Widener Commonwealth ( 6- 9, 70.5) 15- 5 421 A Alvernia Commonwealth (12- 8, 74.2) 21- 6 425 H Lycoming Commonwealth ( 5-12, 64.7) 18- 1 428 H Albright Commonwealth ( 4-13, 59.5) 18- 1 502 H Alvernia Commonwealth (12- 8, 74.2) 19- 5 505 H Elizabethtown Commonwealth (13- 6, 80.6) 7-12 509 H Rensselaer Liberty Leagu (16- 2, 79.3) 18- 8 512 N Colby NESCAC (15- 3, 85.9) 5-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 229 A McDaniel 16-10 6 6 -0.02 303 H Fredonia 17- 8 9 3 ++ 5.33 307 A Dickinson 11-10 1 4 - -3.96 309 H Ursinus 18- 5 13 6 + 3.34 313 N St. Mary's (MD) 16- 3 13 7 + 2.59 315 N Rowan 14-11 3 4 -1.95 320 A Franklin & Marshall 14-15 2o -1 -2 1.54 324 A York 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.86 328 H Catholic (DC) 18-20 o -2 0 - -2.12 405 A Lebanon Valley 16-11 5 9 -- -4.64 410 H Elizabethtown 13-10 3 3 -0.34 414 H FDU-Florham 18- 7 11 10 0.00 418 A Widener 15- 5 10 12 0.00 421 A Alvernia 21- 6 15 8 1.69 425 H Lycoming 18- 1 17 19 0.00 428 H Albright 18- 1 17 24 0.00 502 H Alvernia 19- 5 14 9 0.32 505 H Elizabethtown 7-12 -5 3 --- -8.34 509 H Rensselaer 18- 8 10 4 ++ 5.41 512 N Colby 5-16 -11 -2 --- -7.35UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 H Elizabethtown 7-12 -5 3 --- -8.34 512 N Colby 5-16 -11 -2 --- -7.35 405 A Lebanon Valley 16-11 5 9 -- -4.64 307 A Dickinson 11-10 1 4 - -3.96 328 H Catholic (DC) 18-20 o -2 0 - -2.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Fredonia 17- 8 9 3 ++ 5.33 324 A York 12- 6 6 0 ++ 5.86 509 H Rensselaer 18- 8 10 4 ++ 5.41 309 H Ursinus 18- 5 13 6 + 3.34 313 N St. Mary's (MD) 16- 3 13 7 + 2.59/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.20 Local Power Rank........... 15 Local SOS Rating......... 52.01 Local SOS Rank............. 38 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 109 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 17.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 15.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 15.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0