Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Metro        State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Heather Greer           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.2011261    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 229 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 6-11, 76.5)    16-10   
 303 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        (14- 5, 80.2)    17- 8   
 307 A Dickinson              Centennial    ( 7- 9, 77.5)    11-10   
 309 H Ursinus                Centennial    ( 9- 8, 77.2)    18- 5   
 313 N St. Mary's (MD)        Capital       ( 8- 9, 75.8)    16- 3   
 315 N Rowan                  Independent   (10- 7, 78.3)    14-11   
 320 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (13- 3, 85.1)    14-15 2o
 324 A York                   Capital       (14- 5, 82.4)    12- 6   
 328 H Catholic (DC)          Landmark      (16- 6, 83.8)    18-20  o
 405 A Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  ( 9- 8, 72.9)    16-11   
 410 H Elizabethtown          Commonwealth  (13- 6, 80.6)    13-10   
 414 H FDU-Florham            Freedom       (13- 6, 73.1)    18- 7   
 418 A Widener                Commonwealth  ( 6- 9, 70.5)    15- 5   
 421 A Alvernia               Commonwealth  (12- 8, 74.2)    21- 6   
 425 H Lycoming               Commonwealth  ( 5-12, 64.7)    18- 1   
 428 H Albright               Commonwealth  ( 4-13, 59.5)    18- 1   
 502 H Alvernia               Commonwealth  (12- 8, 74.2)    19- 5   
 505 H Elizabethtown          Commonwealth  (13- 6, 80.6)     7-12   
 509 H Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu (16- 2, 79.3)    18- 8   
 512 N Colby                  NESCAC        (15- 3, 85.9)     5-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A McDaniel               16-10       6     6          -0.02
   303 H Fredonia               17- 8       9     3    ++     5.33
   307 A Dickinson              11-10       1     4    -     -3.96
   309 H Ursinus                18- 5      13     6    +      3.34
   313 N St. Mary's (MD)        16- 3      13     7    +      2.59
   315 N Rowan                  14-11       3     4          -1.95
   320 A Franklin & Marshall    14-15 2o   -1    -2           1.54
   324 A York                   12- 6       6     0    ++     5.86
   328 H Catholic (DC)          18-20  o   -2     0    -     -2.12
   405 A Lebanon Valley         16-11       5     9    --    -4.64
   410 H Elizabethtown          13-10       3     3          -0.34
   414 H FDU-Florham            18- 7      11    10           0.00
   418 A Widener                15- 5      10    12           0.00
   421 A Alvernia               21- 6      15     8           1.69
   425 H Lycoming               18- 1      17    19           0.00
   428 H Albright               18- 1      17    24           0.00
   502 H Alvernia               19- 5      14     9           0.32
   505 H Elizabethtown           7-12      -5     3    ---   -8.34
   509 H Rensselaer             18- 8      10     4    ++     5.41
   512 N Colby                   5-16     -11    -2    ---   -7.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Elizabethtown           7-12      -5     3    ---   -8.34
   512 N Colby                   5-16     -11    -2    ---   -7.35
   405 A Lebanon Valley         16-11       5     9    --    -4.64
   307 A Dickinson              11-10       1     4    -     -3.96
   328 H Catholic (DC)          18-20  o   -2     0    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H Fredonia               17- 8       9     3    ++     5.33
   324 A York                   12- 6       6     0    ++     5.86
   509 H Rensselaer             18- 8      10     4    ++     5.41
   309 H Ursinus                18- 5      13     6    +      3.34
   313 N St. Mary's (MD)        16- 3      13     7    +      2.59
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.20 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.01 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   109
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   15.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   15.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/