Conf = NLC Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Regan DenhamGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.9156799 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 215 H North Carolina Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 98.0) 3-19 218 A Lafayette Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 84.2) 3-15 304 H Cincinnati Big East ( 3-13, 78.2) 8-13 308 A Long Island U. Northeast ( 1-15, 71.3) 19-14 310 A Wagner Northeast ( 7-10, 77.1) 11-12 o 314 H George Mason Colonial ( 3-13, 81.7) 9-20 317 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 3-14, 75.3) 13- 9 321 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 78.8) 15-16 o 327 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (10- 7, 88.0) 8-13 331 A Detroit NLC ( 8- 9, 79.3) 5-19 413 H Jacksonville NLC (15- 4, 91.3) 4-22 415 H Presbyterian NLC ( 3-16, 73.3) 22-21 o 420 A High Point NLC (15- 4, 87.3) 7-22 422 A Davidson NLC ( 8-10, 81.5) 11-18 427 A Longwood NLC ( 4-13, 77.0) 12-13 504 N Detroit NLC ( 8- 9, 79.3) 13-18 505 N Presbyterian NLC ( 3-16, 73.3) 12-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 H North Carolina 3-19 -16 -21 0.00 218 A Lafayette 3-15 -12 -10 0.00 304 H Cincinnati 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.79 308 A Long Island U. 19-14 5 2 + 2.48 310 A Wagner 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.30 314 H George Mason 9-20 -11 -5 -- -4.34 317 A Saint Francis 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.52 321 A Bucknell 15-16 o -1 -5 ++ 4.04 327 A Virginia Tech 8-13 -5 -14 ++ 5.00 331 A Detroit 5-19 -14 -5 -- -4.49 413 H Jacksonville 4-22 -18 -15 0.00 415 H Presbyterian 22-21 o 1 2 -1.75 420 A High Point 7-22 -15 -13 0.00 422 A Davidson 11-18 -7 -7 0.70 427 A Longwood 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.16 504 N Detroit 13-18 -5 -4 -0.60 505 N Presbyterian 12-18 -6 1 --- -7.64UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 505 N Presbyterian 12-18 -6 1 --- -7.64 314 H George Mason 9-20 -11 -5 -- -4.34 331 A Detroit 5-19 -14 -5 -- -4.49 304 H Cincinnati 8-13 -5 -2 - -2.79OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Saint Francis 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.52 321 A Bucknell 15-16 o -1 -5 ++ 4.04 327 A Virginia Tech 8-13 -5 -14 ++ 5.00 308 A Long Island U. 19-14 5 2 + 2.48 310 A Wagner 11-12 o -1 -3 + 2.30 427 A Longwood 12-13 -1 -3 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 74.92 Local Power Rank........... 88 Local SOS Rating......... 59.63 Local SOS Rank............. 87 Local RPI Rating......... 0.32 Local RPI Rank............. 89 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 50 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 89 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 16.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 3-14 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -6.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0