Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Janine TuckerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.3203506 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 218 A George Mason Colonial ( 3-13, 81.7) 19- 6 222 A Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8-11, 79.2) 18- 8 224 H Denver MPSF (12- 3, 88.9) 20- 5 229 H Loyola Big East (14- 6, 93.7) 7-11 303 H Stony Brook America East (14- 5, 92.5) 14-15 307 H Towson Colonial (16- 4, 91.3) 5- 4 314 A Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 93.6) 16-12 317 H Harvard Ivy League ( 9- 7, 91.5) 8- 7 325 H Princeton Ivy League ( 8- 7, 92.8) 9- 8 401 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 91.8) 11-14 407 H Florida Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 99.9) 12-13 2o 411 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 94.1) 7-11 415 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 99.6) 12-16 421 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (12- 7, 93.4) 9-12 425 H UMBC America East ( 8- 9, 89.4) 6- 7 428 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 93.8) 12- 9 503 N Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (12- 7, 93.4) 13-12 504 N Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 99.6) 9-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 A George Mason 19- 6 13 10 0.00 222 A Mount Saint Mary's 18- 8 10 12 0.00 224 H Denver 20- 5 15 5 ++ 4.50 229 H Loyola 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.70 303 H Stony Brook 14-15 -1 1 - -2.91 307 H Towson 5- 4 1 3 - -2.17 314 A Georgetown 16-12 4 -1 ++ 5.41 317 H Harvard 8- 7 1 2 -1.95 325 H Princeton 9- 8 1 1 -0.65 401 A Vanderbilt 11-14 -3 0 - -3.43 407 H Florida 12-13 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.47 411 H Virginia 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.34 415 A Northwestern 12-16 -4 -7 + 3.38 421 A Penn State 9-12 -3 -1 -1.78 425 H UMBC 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.06 428 H Ohio State 12- 9 3 0 + 2.35 503 N Penn State 13-12 1 0 1.12 504 N Northwestern 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.27UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H UMBC 6- 7 -1 5 --- -6.06 229 H Loyola 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.70 411 H Virginia 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.34 303 H Stony Brook 14-15 -1 1 - -2.91 307 H Towson 5- 4 1 3 - -2.17 401 A Vanderbilt 11-14 -3 0 - -3.43OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Denver 20- 5 15 5 ++ 4.50 314 A Georgetown 16-12 4 -1 ++ 5.41 407 H Florida 12-13 2o -1 -5 ++ 4.47 415 A Northwestern 12-16 -4 -7 + 3.38 428 H Ohio State 12- 9 3 0 + 2.35 504 N Northwestern 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.27/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.32 Local Power Rank........... 16 Local SOS Rating......... 82.18 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 15 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 46 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 30 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 15.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0