Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kathy Taylor            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.4711761    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 A Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 78.4)    14- 6   
 307 A Salisbury              Capital       (22- 1, 89.9)    11-12   
 310 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (13- 3, 85.1)    15- 9   
 317 H College of New Jersey  Independent   (16- 4, 86.2)     9- 8   
 320 H St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 78.0)    18- 6   
 324 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (13- 4, 83.0)    17- 6   
 329 A Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 6- 9, 72.9)    21- 7   
 331 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 4-10, 71.4)    19- 6   
 403 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 5, 83.6)    17-11   
 405 A William Smith          Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 78.5)    20- 6   
 407 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (14- 7, 81.6)    22-11   
 414 H New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 7-10, 72.2)    22- 2   
 417 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 5-11, 70.5)    22- 1   
 421 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        (14- 5, 80.2)     8- 7   
 424 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        (12- 4, 81.5)    18-11   
 428 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 6, 81.9)    12- 7   
 504 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 5, 83.6)    11- 9   
 505 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (14- 7, 81.6)    12- 5   
 509 H Castleton State        NEWLA         (12- 7, 71.9)    22- 6   
 512 H Mary Washington        Capital       (14- 5, 81.5)    12- 5   
 513 H College of New Jersey  Independent   (16- 4, 86.2)     9- 7   
 519 N Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        (21- 1, 87.9)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Union                  14- 6       8     9          -1.41
   307 A Salisbury              11-12      -1    -2           1.12
   310 A Franklin & Marshall    15- 9       6     2    +      3.27
   317 H College of New Jersey   9- 8       1     2          -1.98
   320 H St. Lawrence           18- 6      12    11           0.00
   324 H Ithaca                 17- 6      11     6    +      3.88
   329 A Nazareth               21- 7      14    14           0.00
   331 A Oswego                 19- 6      13    16           0.00
   403 H Brockport              17-11       6     5           0.40
   405 A William Smith          20- 6      14     9           0.72
   407 H Buffalo State          22-11      11     7    +      2.41
   414 H New Paltz              22- 2      20    16           0.00
   417 H Potsdam                22- 1      21    18           0.00
   421 A Fredonia                8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.56
   424 A Oneonta                18-11       7     6           0.69
   428 A Geneseo                12- 7       5     5          -0.88
   504 H Brockport              11- 9       2     5    -     -3.60
   505 H Buffalo State          12- 5       7     7          -0.59
   509 H Castleton State        22- 6      16    17           0.00
   512 H Mary Washington        12- 5       7     7          -0.68
   513 H College of New Jersey   9- 7       2     2          -0.98
   519 N Trinity (CT)            5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Fredonia                8- 7       1     7    ---   -6.56
   504 H Brockport              11- 9       2     5    -     -3.60
   519 N Trinity (CT)            5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.58

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Franklin & Marshall    15- 9       6     2    +      3.27
   324 H Ithaca                 17- 6      11     6    +      3.88
   407 H Buffalo State          22-11      11     7    +      2.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.47 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.35 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.72 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   14.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/