2011 NCAA Women's Division II/NAIA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Adelphi Northeast 10 20 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 3 76.00 2 Limestone Carolinas 18 2 9 16 3 4 3 2 9 0.10 3 West Chester PSAC 16 5 8 8 5 3 2 5 10 1.00 4 Lock Haven PSAC 16 3 4 15 4 2 8 3 13 5.00 5 Dowling East Coast 15 3 5 13 6 6 7 6 19 1.00 6 Le Moyne Northeast 10 18 3 2 1 2 5 11 4 20 14.00 7 Stonehill Northeast 10 15 4 3 6 7 8 6 7 21 2.00 8 C.W. Post East Coast 13 4 6 11 8 7 9 8 24 1.00 9 Rollins Independent 13 4 7 24 9 9 12 9 30 0.10 10 Merrimack Northeast 10 12 7 10 3 10 13 4 15 32 0.10 11 East Stroudsburg PSAC 10 9 19 10 22 10 5 20 35 0.10 12 Mercyhurst PSAC 13 6 12 23 14 11 15 13 39 0.10 13 Pfeiffer Carolinas 12 6 15 25 17 14 14 14 42 0.10 14 Gannon PSAC 12 5 13 21 13 12 25 10 47 0.10 15 New Haven Northeast 10 10 8 11 4 16 17 10 21 48 0.10 16 Georgian Court CACC 15 4 22 47 12 15 28 12 55 0.10 17 Bloomsburg PSAC 10 7 18 20 24 16 18 23 57 0.10 18 Bentley Northeast 10 9 8 14 7 20 21 13 24 58 0.10 19 Indiana (PA) PSAC 11 7 23 29 25 19 26 22 67 0.10 20 Molloy East Coast 11 5 16 31 15 18 32 17 67 0.10 21 S. New Hampshire Northeast 10 9 8 20 12 21 25 16 28 69 0.10 22 Slippery Rock PSAC 11 6 17 32 23 22 31 18 71 0.10 23 Shippensburg PSAC 8 8 26 26 30 24 20 29 73 0.10 24 Queens Carolinas 8 9 21 27 31 28 17 31 76 0.10 25 Philadelphia CACC 11 7 37 46 32 26 30 26 82 0.10 26 Assumption Northeast 10 7 8 30 14 27 29 27 32 88 0.10 27 Regis (CO) WILA 12 1 24 60 11 23 56 11 90 0.10 28 Millersville PSAC 4 10 31 18 47 30 23 43 96 0.10 29 Saint Anselm Northeast 10 4 10 28 5 37 34 19 47 100 0.10 30 Seton Hill East Coast 7 10 27 36 49 33 21 50 104 0.10 31 Tennessee Wesley NAIA NWLL 10 4 58 68 19 20 66 19 105 0.10 32 Belmont Abbey Carolinas 6 8 25 34 41 35 36 35 106 0.10 33 Edinboro PSAC 5 11 34 28 51 38 22 48 108 0.10 34 Savannah Art & D NAIA NWLL 11 3 44 62 18 27 67 16 110 0.10 35 Queens (NY) East Coast 9 8 32 44 33 39 40 34 113 0.10 36 Mercy East Coast 9 6 29 45 29 37 47 30 114 0.10 37 Kutztown PSAC 5 12 36 30 57 36 24 56 116 0.10 38 Notre Dame (OH) Independent 9 5 39 50 26 32 60 25 117 0.10 39 Indiana Tech NAIA NWLL 15 4 50 63 28 31 64 27 122 0.10 40 St. Andrews Carolinas 6 10 38 39 50 42 29 51 122 0.10 41 Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 6 10 33 19 35 40 42 42 124 0.10 42 Holy Family CACC 7 10 43 52 56 41 37 53 131 0.10 43 Mo. Baptist NAIA NWLL 5 7 60 61 45 46 41 44 131 0.10 44 American Interna Northeast 10 5 11 40 22 48 45 35 55 135 0.10 45 Shepherd Independent 8 7 35 43 34 43 59 36 138 0.10 46 Dominican CACC 7 9 51 57 55 49 43 49 141 0.10 47 Fort Lewis WILA 7 7 41 58 42 47 54 41 142 0.10 48 Robert Morris (I NAIA NWLL 3 5 67 64 40 55 51 38 144 0.10 49 Shorter NAIA NWLL 9 5 59 66 36 44 68 33 145 0.10 50 Mesa State WILA 3 7 54 59 38 53 55 39 147 0.10 51 West Virginia We Independent 1 10 62 33 46 62 39 46 147 0.10 52 Lake Erie East Coast 3 13 47 38 62 52 34 62 148 0.10 53 Chestnut Hill CACC 7 10 49 56 59 50 44 58 152 0.10 54 Reinhardt NAIA NWLL 3 6 65 67 39 54 62 37 153 0.10 55 Davenport Independent 0 7 68 65 43 64 53 40 157 0.10 56 Lenoir-Rhyne Independent 6 10 48 48 54 51 49 57 157 0.10 57 Southern Connect Northeast 10 0 14 56 9 63 58 33 66 157 0.10 58 Tiffin Independent 7 9 45 51 44 48 65 45 158 0.10 59 Converse Carolinas 3 14 53 40 65 60 38 65 163 0.10 60 Saint Michael's Northeast 10 2 14 42 17 60 57 45 61 163 0.10 61 Lees-McRae Carolinas 3 10 55 35 52 63 52 52 167 0.10 62 St. Thomas Aquin East Coast 4 9 46 42 53 56 61 54 171 0.10 63 Bridgeport East Coast 0 12 63 41 61 65 48 60 173 0.10 64 Erskine Carolinas 1 15 57 37 67 61 46 67 174 0.10 65 Urbana Independent 2 13 64 54 64 66 50 64 180 0.10 66 Adams State WILA 0 10 66 49 58 68 58 59 185 0.10 67 Wilmington CACC 4 13 52 53 66 59 63 63 185 0.10 68 Post CACC 1 15 61 55 68 67 57 68 192 0.10