2011 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 21 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 25.00 2 Maryland Atlantic Coast 21 2 1 5 2 2 3 2 7 48.00 3 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 15 6 3 4 5 4 2 4 10 4.00 4 Duke Atlantic Coast 15 5 4 3 3 5 4 3 12 6.00 5 Florida Amer. Lac. Con 16 4 5 10 4 3 9 6 18 5.00 6 Albany America East 18 1 12 39 6 6 16 5 27 0.10 7 Princeton Ivy League 12 7 11 7 16 9 10 12 31 1.00 8 Penn Ivy League 11 6 15 6 10 12 11 11 34 0.10 9 Boston College Atlantic Coast 12 7 9 15 13 13 8 14 35 0.10 10 James Madison Colonial 15 4 22 23 11 8 17 10 35 2.00 11 Virginia Atlantic Coast 9 9 17 2 15 16 6 15 37 0.10 12 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 10 8 20 8 19 18 5 17 40 1.00 13 Loyola Big East 17 3 6 20 7 7 28 7 42 3.00 14 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 17 3 21 48 9 11 25 9 45 1.00 15 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 10 7 7 16 18 14 13 19 46 1.00 16 Dartmouth Ivy League 11 5 13 14 12 15 19 13 47 0.10 17 Stanford MPSF 16 3 8 29 8 10 29 8 47 3.00 18 Syracuse Big East 10 8 10 11 21 17 7 24 48 0.10 19 Georgetown Big East 9 8 19 9 14 19 12 20 51 0.10 20 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 8 8 16 13 23 20 14 26 60 0.10 21 Canisius Metro Atlantic 14 6 48 59 25 24 22 21 67 0.10 22 Navy Patriot League 15 6 32 54 22 21 23 23 67 0.10 23 William & Mary Colonial 10 7 24 21 38 22 21 27 70 0.10 24 Harvard Ivy League 10 6 18 18 20 23 34 18 75 0.10 25 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 10 8 40 35 30 31 18 29 78 0.10 26 Towson Colonial 11 7 29 24 37 25 27 28 80 0.10 27 Richmond Atlantic 10 10 9 33 31 44 30 15 36 81 0.10 28 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 13 5 44 61 26 27 38 22 87 0.10 29 Notre Dame Big East 10 9 14 17 33 26 24 37 87 0.10 30 UMBC America East 11 7 37 37 35 28 30 30 88 0.10 31 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 9 8 23 19 29 29 32 31 92 0.10 32 Cornell Ivy League 6 8 26 12 28 32 26 35 93 0.10 33 New Hampshire America East 8 9 39 32 46 35 20 45 100 0.10 34 Louisville Big East 10 7 25 36 27 33 43 34 110 0.10 35 High Point NLC 15 4 51 82 17 36 62 16 114 0.10 36 Brown Ivy League 7 8 35 38 40 42 41 40 123 0.10 37 Boston Universit America East 8 9 28 27 47 40 33 51 124 0.10 38 California MPSF 9 8 49 46 39 45 40 41 126 0.10 39 Connecticut Big East 9 7 43 44 36 39 45 42 126 0.10 40 Delaware Colonial 8 9 38 34 50 44 35 47 126 0.10 41 Rutgers Big East 9 7 30 30 34 34 55 38 127 0.10 42 Hofstra Colonial 6 10 34 22 57 41 31 56 128 0.10 43 Lehigh Patriot League 10 7 27 56 43 38 47 43 128 0.10 44 Oregon MPSF 8 9 36 45 48 47 36 49 132 0.10 45 Vermont America East 8 9 50 43 54 43 39 52 134 0.10 46 Duquesne Atlantic 10 11 7 47 64 42 49 49 39 137 0.10 47 Jacksonville NLC 14 5 45 78 24 48 64 25 137 0.10 48 Quinnipiac Northeast 13 5 60 72 31 37 72 32 141 0.10 49 Colgate Patriot League 9 7 42 42 41 46 53 44 143 0.10 50 Denver MPSF 7 11 46 40 56 50 37 57 144 0.10 51 Siena Metro Atlantic 8 8 69 70 53 53 51 50 154 0.10 52 Temple Atlantic 10 7 10 58 50 62 51 46 60 157 0.10 53 Longwood NLC 10 8 62 76 52 52 57 54 163 0.10 54 Drexel Colonial 9 8 31 52 51 54 66 48 168 0.10 55 Stony Brook America East 4 11 55 41 66 62 44 63 169 0.10 56 UC Davis MPSF 10 5 54 79 32 55 85 33 173 0.10 57 Holy Cross Patriot League 6 11 52 47 65 57 50 69 176 0.10 58 Old Dominion Colonial 4 11 53 28 68 58 56 64 178 0.10 59 American Patriot League 9 8 41 57 49 56 70 53 179 0.10 60 Robert Morris Northeast 8 9 73 83 59 59 63 59 181 0.10 61 Yale Ivy League 3 12 61 25 69 66 54 68 188 0.10 62 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 6 9 66 67 58 64 67 58 189 0.10 63 George Washingto Atlantic 10 6 11 59 58 71 65 60 67 192 0.10 64 Mount Saint Mary Northeast 8 11 74 71 70 60 61 71 192 0.10 65 Cincinnati Big East 2 14 70 33 77 68 42 83 193 0.10 66 Monmouth Northeast 10 7 68 84 45 61 88 46 195 0.10 67 Villanova Big East 5 11 64 53 61 72 58 65 195 0.10 68 Bryant Northeast 8 8 77 81 55 63 79 55 197 0.10 69 Marist Metro Atlantic 6 10 65 63 63 70 65 62 197 0.10 70 George Mason Colonial 3 14 56 26 87 67 48 84 199 0.10 71 Binghamton America East 4 13 63 55 83 69 52 82 203 0.10 72 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 57 49 64 74 68 66 208 0.10 73 Sacred Heart Northeast 6 11 76 74 72 71 74 73 218 0.10 74 Davidson NLC 6 12 78 75 76 75 69 76 220 0.10 75 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 5 11 72 60 74 73 76 72 221 0.10 76 Central Connecti Northeast 7 9 81 91 60 78 90 61 229 0.10 77 Iona Metro Atlantic 5 12 71 69 78 76 75 78 229 0.10 78 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 2 13 79 51 81 79 71 80 230 0.10 79 La Salle Atlantic 10 4 12 75 66 80 77 81 77 235 0.10 80 Liberty NLC 7 11 88 88 73 82 80 74 236 0.10 81 Fresno State MPSF 0 14 86 68 90 88 59 90 237 0.10 82 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 10 82 77 67 81 86 70 237 0.10 83 Wagner Northeast 4 12 84 87 82 80 83 81 244 0.10 84 Presbyterian NLC 5 13 87 85 84 83 78 85 246 0.10 85 Bucknell Patriot League 3 13 80 65 85 84 77 86 247 0.10 86 Detroit NLC 3 15 89 80 88 86 73 89 248 0.10 87 Niagara Metro Atlantic 2 11 85 73 75 89 89 75 253 0.10 88 Saint Francis Northeast 5 12 83 90 79 87 87 79 253 0.10 89 Lafayette Patriot League 3 13 67 62 86 85 82 87 254 0.10 90 Long Island U. Northeast 1 15 90 86 91 90 84 91 265 0.10 91 Howard NLC 4 13 91 89 89 91 91 88 270 0.10