Conf = Little East                Region = New England  State = CT
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Jennifer Ouellette      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.2420883    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 A Kean                   Skyline       ( 9- 9, 69.7)    17-14   
 312 H Castleton State        NEWLA         (12- 5, 71.8)    15-13   
 315 A Farmingdale            Skyline       ( 8- 8, 68.8)     9-10   
 320 N MIT                    NEWMAC        ( 9- 6, 74.6)     6-14   
 322 N Savannah Art & Design  NAIA NWLL     (11- 3, 62.6)    16-12   
 329 H Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        ( 6- 9, 80.6)     6-17   
 331 A Framingham State       NEWLA         ( 4-10, 63.4)    19-14   
 402 H Keene State            Little East   (13- 6, 74.8)    10-12   
 409 A Rhode Island College   Little East   ( 5- 9, 61.2)    18- 9   
 412 H Worcester State        NEWLA         ( 2-10, 58.9)    16- 6   
 414 A Westfield State        NEWLA         ( 9- 6, 70.9)    10-13   
 416 H Southern Maine         Little East   ( 8-11, 67.3)     9-10   
 419 A Vassar                 Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 72.3)    10-13   
 423 H Mass.-Dartmouth        Little East   ( 5-11, 64.4)    13- 2   
 427 A Eastern Connecticut    Little East   ( 9- 8, 71.4)    13-14  o
 430 A Plymouth State         Little East   ( 7- 8, 69.3)    10- 8   
 503 H Plymouth State         Little East   ( 7- 8, 69.3)    13-12   
 505 A Eastern Connecticut    Little East   ( 9- 8, 71.4)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Kean                   17-14       3     0    +      3.39
   312 H Castleton State        15-13       2     0    +      2.60
   315 A Farmingdale             9-10      -1     0          -1.46
   320 N MIT                     6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.60
   322 N Savannah Art & Design  16-12       4     7          n/a  
   329 H Wesleyan (CT)           6-17     -11    -9          -0.58
   331 A Framingham State       19-14       5     5          -0.90
   402 H Keene State            10-12      -2    -3           1.54
   409 A Rhode Island College   18- 9       9     8           0.89
   412 H Worcester State        16- 6      10    12           0.00
   414 A Westfield State        10-13      -3    -1          -1.32
   416 H Southern Maine          9-10      -1     3    --    -4.87
   419 A Vassar                 10-13      -3    -3           0.04
   423 H Mass.-Dartmouth        13- 2      11     6    +      3.23
   427 A Eastern Connecticut    13-14  o   -1    -2           1.14
   430 A Plymouth State         10- 8       2     0    +      2.01
   503 H Plymouth State         13-12       1     1          -0.95
   505 A Eastern Connecticut     8- 9      -1    -2           1.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 N Savannah Art & Design  16-12   
   322 N Savannah Art & Design  16-12   
   416 H Southern Maine          9-10      -1     3    --    -4.87
   320 N MIT                     6-14      -8    -4    -     -3.60
   322 N Savannah Art & Design  16-12   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 N Savannah Art & Design  16-12   
   322 N Savannah Art & Design  16-12   
   308 A Kean                   17-14       3     0    +      3.39
   312 H Castleton State        15-13       2     0    +      2.60
   322 N Savannah Art & Design  16-12   
   423 H Mass.-Dartmouth        13- 2      11     6    +      3.23
   430 A Plymouth State         10- 8       2     0    +      2.01
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.24 Local Power Rank...........   106
 Local SOS Rating......... 40.03 Local SOS Rank.............   120
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   118
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   192
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   135
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
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