Conf = MPSF Region = West/Midwest State = OR Nickname = Ducks Coach = Jen Larsen-BeckGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.3888016 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Hofstra Colonial ( 6-10, 88.5) 11-12 o 225 H Fresno State MPSF ( 0-14, 72.2) 18- 5 227 H Jacksonville NLC (14- 5, 86.6) 15- 9 304 A Louisville Big East (10- 7, 91.1) 13-15 306 A Cincinnati Big East ( 2-14, 79.8) 16- 5 311 H William & Mary Colonial (10- 7, 91.3) 8-12 321 A Iona Metro Atlanti ( 5-12, 79.8) 8- 7 323 A Dartmouth Ivy League (11- 5, 93.0) 10-12 325 A Vermont America East ( 8- 9, 85.6) 9-11 327 A Albany America East (18- 1, 93.1) 6- 7 408 A California MPSF ( 9- 8, 85.7) 16-14 410 A St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 2-13, 77.5) 16-10 415 H Stanford MPSF (16- 3, 94.0) 13-18 417 H UC Davis MPSF (10- 5, 84.5) 19- 7 423 A Denver MPSF ( 7-11, 86.5) 9-14 429 N Denver MPSF ( 7-11, 86.5) 7- 4 501 N Stanford MPSF (16- 3, 94.0) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Hofstra 11-12 o -1 0 -1.87 225 H Fresno State 18- 5 13 17 0.00 227 H Jacksonville 15- 9 6 2 + 3.32 304 A Louisville 13-15 -2 -3 1.63 306 A Cincinnati 16- 5 11 7 + 2.38 311 H William & Mary 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.00 321 A Iona 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.68 323 A Dartmouth 10-12 -2 -5 + 3.52 325 A Vermont 9-11 -2 1 - -3.81 327 A Albany 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.68 408 A California 16-14 2 1 0.21 410 A St. Mary's (CA) 16-10 6 9 - -3.92 415 H Stanford 13-18 -5 -4 -0.28 417 H UC Davis 19- 7 12 4 ++ 5.15 423 A Denver 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.98 429 N Denver 7- 4 3 1 1.08 501 N Stanford 10-12 -2 -5 + 3.66UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Iona 8- 7 1 7 --- -6.68 423 A Denver 9-14 -5 0 -- -5.98 311 H William & Mary 8-12 -4 -1 - -2.00 325 A Vermont 9-11 -2 1 - -3.81 410 A St. Mary's (CA) 16-10 6 9 - -3.92OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Albany 6- 7 -1 -5 ++ 4.68 417 H UC Davis 19- 7 12 4 ++ 5.15 227 H Jacksonville 15- 9 6 2 + 3.32 306 A Cincinnati 16- 5 11 7 + 2.38 323 A Dartmouth 10-12 -2 -5 + 3.52 501 N Stanford 10-12 -2 -5 + 3.66/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.39 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 70.14 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 47 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 65 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 48 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3