Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.9985352 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 H Florida Amer. Lac. Co (16- 4, 95.9) 10- 9 o 216 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 92.5) 14-10 220 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 88.5) 14- 8 225 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 98.6) 6- 7 o 305 A Penn Ivy League (11- 6, 92.9) 7-10 307 A Denver MPSF ( 7-11, 86.5) 13- 3 312 H Virginia Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 92.5) 8- 7 319 H Georgetown Big East ( 9- 8, 92.4) 13-10 323 H Cornell Ivy League ( 6- 8, 90.4) 14- 5 326 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 93.6) 15-10 401 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 88.0) 14- 8 403 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 4-11, 84.5) 18- 7 409 A Maryland Atlantic Coas (21- 2, 99.9) 9-12 415 A Duke Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 96.2) 10-11 421 N Virginia Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 92.5) 16- 5 422 N Duke Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 96.2) 17- 8 424 N Maryland Atlantic Coas (21- 2, 99.9) 7-12 506 H High Point NLC (15- 4, 85.6) 20- 4 514 H Virginia Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 92.5) 15- 7 521 H Loyola Big East (17- 3, 94.9) 16-13 527 N Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 98.6) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H Florida 10- 9 o 1 2 -1.07 216 A Vanderbilt 14-10 4 3 0.43 220 H Richmond 14- 8 6 9 - -3.42 225 H Northwestern 6- 7 o -1 0 -0.29 305 A Penn 7-10 -3 3 --- -6.19 307 A Denver 13- 3 10 9 0.41 312 H Virginia 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.46 319 H Georgetown 13-10 3 5 - -2.50 323 H Cornell 14- 5 9 7 1.48 326 H Boston College 15-10 5 4 0.65 401 A Virginia Tech 14- 8 6 8 - -2.10 403 H Old Dominion 18- 7 11 13 0.00 409 A Maryland 9-12 -3 -3 0.84 415 A Duke 10-11 -1 0 -0.84 421 N Virginia 16- 5 11 4 ++ 5.47 422 N Duke 17- 8 9 0 +++ 8.22 424 N Maryland 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.10 506 H High Point 20- 4 16 12 0.00 514 H Virginia 15- 7 8 5 + 2.54 521 H Loyola 16-13 3 3 -0.01 527 N Northwestern 10-11 -1 -1 0.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Penn 7-10 -3 3 --- -6.19 312 H Virginia 8- 7 1 5 -- -4.46 220 H Richmond 14- 8 6 9 - -3.42 319 H Georgetown 13-10 3 5 - -2.50 401 A Virginia Tech 14- 8 6 8 - -2.10 424 N Maryland 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 N Duke 17- 8 9 0 +++ 8.22 421 N Virginia 16- 5 11 4 ++ 5.47 514 H Virginia 15- 7 8 5 + 2.54/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.00 Local Power Rank........... 3 Local SOS Rating......... 83.73 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 5 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3