Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.9985352    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 H Florida                Amer. Lac. Co (16- 4, 95.9)    10- 9  o
 216 A Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 92.5)    14-10   
 220 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 9, 88.5)    14- 8   
 225 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 98.6)     6- 7  o
 305 A Penn                   Ivy League    (11- 6, 92.9)     7-10   
 307 A Denver                 MPSF          ( 7-11, 86.5)    13- 3   
 312 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 92.5)     8- 7   
 319 H Georgetown             Big East      ( 9- 8, 92.4)    13-10   
 323 H Cornell                Ivy League    ( 6- 8, 90.4)    14- 5   
 326 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 93.6)    15-10   
 401 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 88.0)    14- 8   
 403 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 4-11, 84.5)    18- 7   
 409 A Maryland               Atlantic Coas (21- 2, 99.9)     9-12   
 415 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 96.2)    10-11   
 421 N Virginia               Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 92.5)    16- 5   
 422 N Duke                   Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 96.2)    17- 8   
 424 N Maryland               Atlantic Coas (21- 2, 99.9)     7-12   
 506 H High Point             NLC           (15- 4, 85.6)    20- 4   
 514 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 92.5)    15- 7   
 521 H Loyola                 Big East      (17- 3, 94.9)    16-13   
 527 N Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 2, 98.6)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H Florida                10- 9  o    1     2          -1.07
   216 A Vanderbilt             14-10       4     3           0.43
   220 H Richmond               14- 8       6     9    -     -3.42
   225 H Northwestern            6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.29
   305 A Penn                    7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.19
   307 A Denver                 13- 3      10     9           0.41
   312 H Virginia                8- 7       1     5    --    -4.46
   319 H Georgetown             13-10       3     5    -     -2.50
   323 H Cornell                14- 5       9     7           1.48
   326 H Boston College         15-10       5     4           0.65
   401 A Virginia Tech          14- 8       6     8    -     -2.10
   403 H Old Dominion           18- 7      11    13           0.00
   409 A Maryland                9-12      -3    -3           0.84
   415 A Duke                   10-11      -1     0          -0.84
   421 N Virginia               16- 5      11     4    ++     5.47
   422 N Duke                   17- 8       9     0    +++    8.22
   424 N Maryland                7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.10
   506 H High Point             20- 4      16    12           0.00
   514 H Virginia               15- 7       8     5    +      2.54
   521 H Loyola                 16-13       3     3          -0.01
   527 N Northwestern           10-11      -1    -1           0.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Penn                    7-10      -3     3    ---   -6.19
   312 H Virginia                8- 7       1     5    --    -4.46
   220 H Richmond               14- 8       6     9    -     -3.42
   319 H Georgetown             13-10       3     5    -     -2.50
   401 A Virginia Tech          14- 8       6     8    -     -2.10
   424 N Maryland                7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 N Duke                   17- 8       9     0    +++    8.22
   421 N Virginia               16- 5      11     4    ++     5.47
   514 H Virginia               15- 7       8     5    +      2.54
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.00 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.73 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/