Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.9400787    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Converse               Carolinas     ( 3-14, 59.1)    22- 3   
 219 A St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 6-10, 64.3)    19- 2   
 222 H Adelphi                Northeast 10  (20- 0, 84.9)     9-21   
 228 H Notre Dame (OH)        Independent   ( 9- 5, 64.3)    23- 5   
 304 A Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (12- 6, 70.0)    16-11   
 306 A Queens                 Carolinas     ( 8- 9, 68.1)    18- 8   
 311 H Indiana (PA)           PSAC          (11- 7, 67.5)    20- 4   
 315 H Stonehill              Northeast 10  (15- 4, 77.5)     9-11   
 322 H Erskine                Carolinas     ( 1-15, 56.1)    23- 2   
 401 A Lock Haven             PSAC          (16- 3, 77.4)     7-12   
 403 N Edinboro               PSAC          ( 5-11, 64.4)    14- 7   
 404 A Millersville           PSAC          ( 4-10, 64.6)    22- 6   
 415 H Regis (CO)             WILA          (12- 1, 67.1)    17-15   
 417 H Adams State            WILA          ( 0-10, 48.0)    18- 1   
 423 A West Chester           PSAC          (16- 5, 73.8)    11-15   
 504 A Lenoir-Rhyne           Independent   ( 6-10, 60.2)    22- 7   
 507 A Limestone              Carolinas     (18- 2, 73.3)    13- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Converse               22- 3      19    14           0.00
   219 A St. Andrews            19- 2      17     9           0.63
   222 H Adelphi                 9-21     -12   -10           0.00
   228 H Notre Dame (OH)        23- 5      18     9           0.07
   304 A Pfeiffer               16-11       5     3           1.36
   306 A Queens                 18- 8      10     5    ++     4.41
   311 H Indiana (PA)           20- 4      16     6    +      3.27
   315 H Stonehill               9-11      -2    -3           1.31
   322 H Erskine                23- 2      21    18           0.00
   401 A Lock Haven              7-12      -5    -3          -1.28
   403 N Edinboro               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.54
   404 A Millersville           22- 6      16     9           0.86
   415 H Regis (CO)             17-15       2     7    --    -5.13
   417 H Adams State            18- 1      17    26           0.00
   423 A West Chester           11-15      -4     0    -     -3.86
   504 A Lenoir-Rhyne           22- 7      15    13           0.00
   507 A Limestone              13- 9       4     0    +      3.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Regis (CO)             17-15       2     7    --    -5.13
   403 N Edinboro               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.54
   423 A West Chester           11-15      -4     0    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Queens                 18- 8      10     5    ++     4.41
   311 H Indiana (PA)           20- 4      16     6    +      3.27
   507 A Limestone              13- 9       4     0    +      3.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.94 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 38.00 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    51
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   10.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/