Conf = Northeast Region = West/Midwest State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Katy PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.0902100 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 227 A Bucknell Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 76.4) 9- 5 305 H Navy Patriot Leagu (15- 6, 88.7) 5-16 309 A Davidson NLC ( 6-12, 77.7) 6-15 312 A High Point NLC (15- 4, 85.6) 7-18 316 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 85.8) 5-13 318 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 6- 9, 81.1) 8-13 322 H Canisius Metro Atlanti (14- 6, 85.8) 10-11 325 A Sacred Heart Northeast ( 6-11, 78.9) 11-10 o 327 A Quinnipiac Northeast (13- 5, 83.5) 11-14 401 H Central Connecticut Northeast ( 7- 9, 75.8) 9-10 403 H Bryant Northeast ( 8- 8, 78.2) 11- 9 408 A Wagner Northeast ( 4-12, 72.7) 14- 1 410 A Long Island U. Northeast ( 1-15, 71.4) 19- 8 415 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8-11, 79.1) 15-12 417 H Monmouth Northeast (10- 7, 80.1) 11- 8 421 A Saint Francis Northeast ( 5-12, 75.5) 17-11 429 N Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8-11, 79.1) 8-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A Bucknell 9- 5 4 1 + 2.25 305 H Navy 5-16 -11 -8 -1.28 309 A Davidson 6-15 -9 0 --- -9.42 312 A High Point 7-18 -11 -7 - -2.55 316 H Duquesne 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.23 318 H St. Bonaventure 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.90 322 H Canisius 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.73 325 A Sacred Heart 11-10 o 1 0 1.74 327 A Quinnipiac 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.36 401 H Central Connecticut 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.19 403 H Bryant 11- 9 2 1 0.15 408 A Wagner 14- 1 13 5 ++ 4.58 410 A Long Island U. 19- 8 11 6 + 3.22 415 H Mount Saint Mary's 15-12 3 0 + 2.05 417 H Monmouth 11- 8 3 0 + 3.11 421 A Saint Francis 17-11 6 2 + 3.38 429 N Mount Saint Mary's 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.01UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 309 A Davidson 6-15 -9 0 --- -9.42 401 H Central Connecticut 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.19 429 N Mount Saint Mary's 8-13 -5 0 -- -5.01 312 A High Point 7-18 -11 -7 - -2.55 316 H Duquesne 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.23 318 H St. Bonaventure 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.90OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Canisius 10-11 -1 -5 ++ 4.73 408 A Wagner 14- 1 13 5 ++ 4.58 227 A Bucknell 9- 5 4 1 + 2.25 327 A Quinnipiac 11-14 -3 -5 + 2.36 410 A Long Island U. 19- 8 11 6 + 3.22 415 H Mount Saint Mary's 15-12 3 0 + 2.05 417 H Monmouth 11- 8 3 0 + 3.11 421 A Saint Francis 17-11 6 2 + 3.38/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 79.09 Local Power Rank........... 73 Local SOS Rating......... 57.15 Local SOS Rank............. 83 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 59 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 70 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 59 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3