Conf = Northeast                  Region = West/Midwest State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Katy Phillips           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.0902100    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A Bucknell               Patriot Leagu ( 3-13, 76.4)     9- 5   
 305 H Navy                   Patriot Leagu (15- 6, 88.7)     5-16   
 309 A Davidson               NLC           ( 6-12, 77.7)     6-15   
 312 A High Point             NLC           (15- 4, 85.6)     7-18   
 316 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 85.8)     5-13   
 318 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 6- 9, 81.1)     8-13   
 322 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti (14- 6, 85.8)    10-11   
 325 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 6-11, 78.9)    11-10  o
 327 A Quinnipiac             Northeast     (13- 5, 83.5)    11-14   
 401 H Central Connecticut    Northeast     ( 7- 9, 75.8)     9-10   
 403 H Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8- 8, 78.2)    11- 9   
 408 A Wagner                 Northeast     ( 4-12, 72.7)    14- 1   
 410 A Long Island U.         Northeast     ( 1-15, 71.4)    19- 8   
 415 H Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     ( 8-11, 79.1)    15-12   
 417 H Monmouth               Northeast     (10- 7, 80.1)    11- 8   
 421 A Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 5-12, 75.5)    17-11   
 429 N Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     ( 8-11, 79.1)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A Bucknell                9- 5       4     1    +      2.25
   305 H Navy                    5-16     -11    -8          -1.28
   309 A Davidson                6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.42
   312 A High Point              7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.55
   316 H Duquesne                5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.23
   318 H St. Bonaventure         8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.90
   322 H Canisius               10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.73
   325 A Sacred Heart           11-10  o    1     0           1.74
   327 A Quinnipiac             11-14      -3    -5    +      2.36
   401 H Central Connecticut     9-10      -1     4    --    -5.19
   403 H Bryant                 11- 9       2     1           0.15
   408 A Wagner                 14- 1      13     5    ++     4.58
   410 A Long Island U.         19- 8      11     6    +      3.22
   415 H Mount Saint Mary's     15-12       3     0    +      2.05
   417 H Monmouth               11- 8       3     0    +      3.11
   421 A Saint Francis          17-11       6     2    +      3.38
   429 N Mount Saint Mary's      8-13      -5     0    --    -5.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 A Davidson                6-15      -9     0    ---   -9.42
   401 H Central Connecticut     9-10      -1     4    --    -5.19
   429 N Mount Saint Mary's      8-13      -5     0    --    -5.01
   312 A High Point              7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.55
   316 H Duquesne                5-13      -8    -5    -     -2.23
   318 H St. Bonaventure         8-13      -5    -1    -     -3.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H Canisius               10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.73
   408 A Wagner                 14- 1      13     5    ++     4.58
   227 A Bucknell                9- 5       4     1    +      2.25
   327 A Quinnipiac             11-14      -3    -5    +      2.36
   410 A Long Island U.         19- 8      11     6    +      3.22
   415 H Mount Saint Mary's     15-12       3     0    +      2.05
   417 H Monmouth               11- 8       3     0    +      3.11
   421 A Saint Francis          17-11       6     2    +      3.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.09 Local Power Rank...........    73
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.15 Local SOS Rank.............    83
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
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