Conf = NLC                        Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Regan Denham            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.0069427    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 5-12, 75.5)    11-10   
 306 H Monmouth               Northeast     (10- 7, 80.1)    11-15   
 312 A Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 8- 8, 80.0)     6-19   
 315 A Central Connecticut    Northeast     ( 7- 9, 75.8)    10-19   
 322 H Fresno State           MPSF          ( 0-14, 72.2)    14-13   
 325 H Detroit                NLC           ( 3-15, 71.8)    15-10   
 327 H Howard                 NLC           ( 4-13, 66.6)    19- 9   
 329 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 88.0)     2-18   
 401 A Jacksonville           NLC           (14- 5, 86.6)     4-23   
 403 A Presbyterian           NLC           ( 5-13, 72.1)    12-13   
 405 A Erskine                Carolinas     ( 1-15, 56.1)    17- 7   
 410 H Davidson               NLC           ( 6-12, 77.7)     8-12   
 413 H High Point             NLC           (15- 4, 85.6)     4-17   
 419 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 87.7)     3-23   
 421 H Longwood               NLC           (10- 8, 82.7)    10-18   
 423 A Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 3-10, 57.4)    22- 6   
 429 A Davidson               NLC           ( 6-12, 77.7)     6-11   
 430 N Howard                 NLC           ( 4-13, 66.6)    16-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Saint Francis          11-10       1    -2    +      3.58
   306 H Monmouth               11-15      -4    -7    +      3.19
   312 A Siena                   6-19     -13    -8          -1.05
   315 A Central Connecticut    10-19      -9    -4    --    -4.23
   322 H Fresno State           14-13       1     0           0.28
   325 H Detroit                15-10       5     1    +      3.84
   327 H Howard                 19- 9      10     6    +      3.66
   329 H Virginia Tech           2-18     -16   -15           0.00
   401 A Jacksonville            4-23     -19   -15           0.00
   403 A Presbyterian           12-13      -1    -1           0.07
   405 A Erskine                17- 7      10    15          n/a  
   410 H Davidson                8-12      -4    -4           0.79
   413 H High Point              4-17     -13   -12           0.00
   419 A American                3-23     -20   -16           0.00
   421 H Longwood               10-18      -8    -9           1.72
   423 A Lees-McRae             22- 6      16    14          n/a  
   429 A Davidson                6-11      -5    -6           1.66
   430 N Howard                 16-13       3     5    -     -2.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Erskine                17- 7   
   423 A Lees-McRae             22- 6   
   315 A Central Connecticut    10-19      -9    -4    --    -4.23
   405 A Erskine                17- 7   
   423 A Lees-McRae             22- 6   
   405 A Erskine                17- 7   
   423 A Lees-McRae             22- 6   
   430 N Howard                 16-13       3     5    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Erskine                17- 7   
   423 A Lees-McRae             22- 6   
   405 A Erskine                17- 7   
   423 A Lees-McRae             22- 6   
   301 H Saint Francis          11-10       1    -2    +      3.58
   306 H Monmouth               11-15      -4    -7    +      3.19
   325 H Detroit                15-10       5     1    +      3.84
   327 H Howard                 19- 9      10     6    +      3.66
   405 A Erskine                17- 7   
   423 A Lees-McRae             22- 6   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.01 Local Power Rank...........    88
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.37 Local SOS Rank.............    88
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    73
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/