Conf = NLC Region = South State = VA Nickname = Flames Coach = Regan DenhamGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.0069427 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Saint Francis Northeast ( 5-12, 75.5) 11-10 306 H Monmouth Northeast (10- 7, 80.1) 11-15 312 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 8- 8, 80.0) 6-19 315 A Central Connecticut Northeast ( 7- 9, 75.8) 10-19 322 H Fresno State MPSF ( 0-14, 72.2) 14-13 325 H Detroit NLC ( 3-15, 71.8) 15-10 327 H Howard NLC ( 4-13, 66.6) 19- 9 329 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 88.0) 2-18 401 A Jacksonville NLC (14- 5, 86.6) 4-23 403 A Presbyterian NLC ( 5-13, 72.1) 12-13 405 A Erskine Carolinas ( 1-15, 56.1) 17- 7 410 H Davidson NLC ( 6-12, 77.7) 8-12 413 H High Point NLC (15- 4, 85.6) 4-17 419 A American Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 87.7) 3-23 421 H Longwood NLC (10- 8, 82.7) 10-18 423 A Lees-McRae Carolinas ( 3-10, 57.4) 22- 6 429 A Davidson NLC ( 6-12, 77.7) 6-11 430 N Howard NLC ( 4-13, 66.6) 16-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Saint Francis 11-10 1 -2 + 3.58 306 H Monmouth 11-15 -4 -7 + 3.19 312 A Siena 6-19 -13 -8 -1.05 315 A Central Connecticut 10-19 -9 -4 -- -4.23 322 H Fresno State 14-13 1 0 0.28 325 H Detroit 15-10 5 1 + 3.84 327 H Howard 19- 9 10 6 + 3.66 329 H Virginia Tech 2-18 -16 -15 0.00 401 A Jacksonville 4-23 -19 -15 0.00 403 A Presbyterian 12-13 -1 -1 0.07 405 A Erskine 17- 7 10 15 n/a 410 H Davidson 8-12 -4 -4 0.79 413 H High Point 4-17 -13 -12 0.00 419 A American 3-23 -20 -16 0.00 421 H Longwood 10-18 -8 -9 1.72 423 A Lees-McRae 22- 6 16 14 n/a 429 A Davidson 6-11 -5 -6 1.66 430 N Howard 16-13 3 5 - -2.40UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Erskine 17- 7 423 A Lees-McRae 22- 6 315 A Central Connecticut 10-19 -9 -4 -- -4.23 405 A Erskine 17- 7 423 A Lees-McRae 22- 6 405 A Erskine 17- 7 423 A Lees-McRae 22- 6 430 N Howard 16-13 3 5 - -2.40OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Erskine 17- 7 423 A Lees-McRae 22- 6 405 A Erskine 17- 7 423 A Lees-McRae 22- 6 301 H Saint Francis 11-10 1 -2 + 3.58 306 H Monmouth 11-15 -4 -7 + 3.19 325 H Detroit 15-10 5 1 + 3.84 327 H Howard 19- 9 10 6 + 3.66 405 A Erskine 17- 7 423 A Lees-McRae 22- 6/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.01 Local Power Rank........... 88 Local SOS Rating......... 54.37 Local SOS Rank............. 88 Local RPI Rating......... 0.36 Local RPI Rank............. 82 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 52 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 73 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 14.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -20.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -20.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7