Conf = NAIA NWLL                  Region = NAIA         State = IN
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Ed Karasek              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   70.3505249    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Tennessee Wesleyan     NAIA NWLL     (10- 4, 55.4)    12-14   
 316 A Shorter                NAIA NWLL     ( 9- 5, 51.7)    23- 8   
 317 A Reinhardt              NAIA NWLL     ( 3- 6, 48.9)    19- 7   
 318 A Centre                 SCAC          (11- 6, 69.3)    17-16  o
 319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    Midwest       ( 0-12, 54.9)    25- 2   
 321 A Olivet                 Independent   ( 2- 7, 48.6)    22- 2   
 326 H Lake Erie              East Coast    ( 3-13, 60.2)    11-16   
 327 H Urbana                 Independent   ( 2-13, 50.0)    16- 6   
 407 A Tiffin                 Independent   ( 7- 9, 62.2)    20-24   
 409 N Mo. Baptist            NAIA NWLL     ( 5- 7, 51.7)    22-10   
 410 A Robert Morris (IL)     NAIA NWLL     ( 3- 5, 44.8)    22- 9   
 410 N Savannah Art & Design  NAIA NWLL     (11- 3, 62.6)    16-20   
 413 H Olivet                 Independent   ( 2- 7, 48.6)    22- 1   
 413 H Olivet                 Independent   ( 2- 7, 48.6)    19- 1   
 416 H North Central          Midwest       ( 7- 7, 65.8)    18-17   
 420 A Albion                 Midwest       ( 4- 7, 57.5)    20- 3   
 422 N Mo. Baptist            NAIA NWLL     ( 5- 7, 51.7)    21-11   
 423 N Tennessee Wesleyan     NAIA NWLL     (10- 4, 55.4)    15-10   
 426 H Trine                  Midwest       ( 7- 6, 65.2)    21-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Tennessee Wesleyan     12-14      -2     4    ---   -6.09
   316 A Shorter                23- 8      15     7    +      2.24
   317 A Reinhardt              19- 7      12    10           0.00
   318 A Centre                 17-16  o    1   -10          n/a  
   319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    25- 2      23     4          n/a  
   321 A Olivet                 22- 2      20    10          n/a  
   326 H Lake Erie              11-16      -5     0    --    -4.79
   327 H Urbana                 16- 6      10    10           0.00
   407 A Tiffin                 20-24      -4    -2          -1.32
   409 N Mo. Baptist            22-10      12     8           1.92
   410 A Robert Morris (IL)     22- 9      13    14           0.00
   410 N Savannah Art & Design  16-20      -4    -2          -1.19
   413 H Olivet                 22- 1      21    11          n/a  
   413 H Olivet                 19- 1      18    11          n/a  
   416 H North Central          18-17       1    -5          n/a  
   420 A Albion                 20- 3      17     1          n/a  
   422 N Mo. Baptist            21-11      10     8           1.92
   423 N Tennessee Wesleyan     15-10       5     4           0.66
   426 H Trine                  21-13       8    -4          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Tennessee Wesleyan     12-14      -2     4    ---   -6.09
   318 A Centre                 17-16  o
   319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    25- 2   
   321 A Olivet                 22- 2   
   413 H Olivet                 22- 1   
   413 H Olivet                 19- 1   
   416 H North Central          18-17   
   420 A Albion                 20- 3   
   426 H Trine                  21-13   
   318 A Centre                 17-16  o
   319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    25- 2   
   321 A Olivet                 22- 2   
   326 H Lake Erie              11-16      -5     0    --    -4.79
   413 H Olivet                 22- 1   
   413 H Olivet                 19- 1   
   416 H North Central          18-17   
   420 A Albion                 20- 3   
   426 H Trine                  21-13   
   318 A Centre                 17-16  o
   319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    25- 2   
   321 A Olivet                 22- 2   
   413 H Olivet                 22- 1   
   413 H Olivet                 19- 1   
   416 H North Central          18-17   
   420 A Albion                 20- 3   
   426 H Trine                  21-13   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Centre                 17-16  o
   319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    25- 2   
   321 A Olivet                 22- 2   
   413 H Olivet                 22- 1   
   413 H Olivet                 19- 1   
   416 H North Central          18-17   
   420 A Albion                 20- 3   
   426 H Trine                  21-13   
   318 A Centre                 17-16  o
   319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    25- 2   
   321 A Olivet                 22- 2   
   413 H Olivet                 22- 1   
   413 H Olivet                 19- 1   
   416 H North Central          18-17   
   420 A Albion                 20- 3   
   426 H Trine                  21-13   
   316 A Shorter                23- 8      15     7    +      2.24
   318 A Centre                 17-16  o
   319 N Concordia-Wisconsin    25- 2   
   321 A Olivet                 22- 2   
   413 H Olivet                 22- 1   
   413 H Olivet                 19- 1   
   416 H North Central          18-17   
   420 A Albion                 20- 3   
   426 H Trine                  21-13   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 59.76 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 21.89 Local SOS Rank.............    63
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   19.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
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