Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Tara Hannaford          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.5273438    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Howard                 NLC           ( 4-13, 66.6)    21- 3   
 219 H Drexel                 Colonial      ( 9- 8, 88.9)     9-14   
 223 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 87.7)     8-17   
 226 A James Madison          Colonial      (15- 4, 92.0)     5-12   
 302 H George Mason           Colonial      ( 3-14, 84.5)     9-17   
 305 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 88.0)     8-18   
 312 H Towson                 Colonial      (11- 7, 89.1)    10-17   
 316 A Villanova              Big East      ( 5-11, 82.4)    14- 8   
 321 A Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     ( 8-11, 79.1)    16- 4   
 326 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 91.8)    10-11   
 401 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 6- 9, 81.1)    18-15   
 403 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 85.8)     6- 7   
 408 A Temple                 Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 83.8)    10-13   
 410 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 4-12, 79.1)    15- 7   
 415 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (17- 3, 92.1)     6-21   
 417 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 79.7)     9- 3   
 422 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (10- 9, 88.5)    10-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Howard                 21- 3      18    17           0.00
   219 H Drexel                  9-14      -5    -4          -0.57
   223 A American                8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.90
   226 A James Madison           5-12      -7    -9    +      2.39
   302 H George Mason            9-17      -8     0    ---   -8.01
   305 A Virginia Tech           8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.63
   312 H Towson                 10-17      -7    -4    -     -2.38
   316 A Villanova              14- 8       6     0    ++     5.83
   321 A Mount Saint Mary's     16- 4      12     3    +++    6.49
   326 A Johns Hopkins          10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.17
   401 H St. Bonaventure        18-15       3     3          -0.33
   403 H Duquesne                6- 7      -1    -1           0.33
   408 A Temple                 10-13      -3    -1          -1.80
   410 H La Salle               15- 7       8     5    +      2.61
   415 A Massachusetts           6-21     -15    -9          -0.51
   417 A Saint Joseph's          9- 3       6     2    +      3.12
   422 H Richmond               10-18      -8    -4    -     -3.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H George Mason            9-17      -8     0    ---   -8.01
   305 A Virginia Tech           8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.63
   223 A American                8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.90
   312 H Towson                 10-17      -7    -4    -     -2.38
   422 H Richmond               10-18      -8    -4    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Mount Saint Mary's     16- 4      12     3    +++    6.49
   326 A Johns Hopkins          10-11      -1    -9    +++    8.17
   316 A Villanova              14- 8       6     0    ++     5.83
   226 A James Madison           5-12      -7    -9    +      2.39
   410 H La Salle               15- 7       8     5    +      2.61
   417 A Saint Joseph's          9- 3       6     2    +      3.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.53 Local Power Rank...........    59
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.70 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    65
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    71
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/