Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = South State = DC Nickname = Colonials Coach = Tara HannafordGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.5273438 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 216 H Howard NLC ( 4-13, 66.6) 21- 3 219 H Drexel Colonial ( 9- 8, 88.9) 9-14 223 A American Patriot Leagu ( 9- 8, 87.7) 8-17 226 A James Madison Colonial (15- 4, 92.0) 5-12 302 H George Mason Colonial ( 3-14, 84.5) 9-17 305 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (10- 8, 88.0) 8-18 312 H Towson Colonial (11- 7, 89.1) 10-17 316 A Villanova Big East ( 5-11, 82.4) 14- 8 321 A Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 8-11, 79.1) 16- 4 326 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 91.8) 10-11 401 H St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 ( 6- 9, 81.1) 18-15 403 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 (11- 7, 85.8) 6- 7 408 A Temple Atlantic 10 ( 7-10, 83.8) 10-13 410 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 4-12, 79.1) 15- 7 415 A Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (17- 3, 92.1) 6-21 417 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, 79.7) 9- 3 422 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 9, 88.5) 10-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 216 H Howard 21- 3 18 17 0.00 219 H Drexel 9-14 -5 -4 -0.57 223 A American 8-17 -9 -5 - -3.90 226 A James Madison 5-12 -7 -9 + 2.39 302 H George Mason 9-17 -8 0 --- -8.01 305 A Virginia Tech 8-18 -10 -5 -- -4.63 312 H Towson 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.38 316 A Villanova 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.83 321 A Mount Saint Mary's 16- 4 12 3 +++ 6.49 326 A Johns Hopkins 10-11 -1 -9 +++ 8.17 401 H St. Bonaventure 18-15 3 3 -0.33 403 H Duquesne 6- 7 -1 -1 0.33 408 A Temple 10-13 -3 -1 -1.80 410 H La Salle 15- 7 8 5 + 2.61 415 A Massachusetts 6-21 -15 -9 -0.51 417 A Saint Joseph's 9- 3 6 2 + 3.12 422 H Richmond 10-18 -8 -4 - -3.95UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H George Mason 9-17 -8 0 --- -8.01 305 A Virginia Tech 8-18 -10 -5 -- -4.63 223 A American 8-17 -9 -5 - -3.90 312 H Towson 10-17 -7 -4 - -2.38 422 H Richmond 10-18 -8 -4 - -3.95OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Mount Saint Mary's 16- 4 12 3 +++ 6.49 326 A Johns Hopkins 10-11 -1 -9 +++ 8.17 316 A Villanova 14- 8 6 0 ++ 5.83 226 A James Madison 5-12 -7 -9 + 2.39 410 H La Salle 15- 7 8 5 + 2.61 417 A Saint Joseph's 9- 3 6 2 + 3.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.53 Local Power Rank........... 59 Local SOS Rating......... 66.70 Local SOS Rank............. 58 Local RPI Rating......... 0.43 Local RPI Rank............. 65 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 39 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 71 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7